The S&P 500, trading near 7,786 as of mid-August 2026 after a 14% year-to-date advance, faces primary pressure from Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% following a divided July FOMC decision, markets now price potential rate hikes by year-end amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and persistent core inflation. Recent labor data and elevated producer prices have shifted trader focus toward tighter monetary conditions rather than cuts, influencing equity valuations through higher discount rates and Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment and CPI releases, plus Q3 earnings that will test AI-driven revenue momentum in tech-heavy components. These factors create a closely contested path for index levels by December, with inflation trajectory and policy signals likely to dictate near-term direction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$302,228 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
10%
↑ 8,600美元
12%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
73%
↓ $7,400
64%
↓ $7,200
63%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ 6,200美元
14%
↓ $6,000
28%
↓ 5,800美元
8%
↓ 5,200
7%
↓ 4,500美元
4%
$302,228 交易量
↑ $10,000
$103 交易量
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,261 交易量
5%
↑ $9,000
$8 交易量
10%
↑ 8,600美元
$26,235 交易量
12%
↑ 8,200美元
$21,489 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$483 交易量
73%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
64%
↓ $7,200
$0 交易量
63%
↓ $7,000
$200 交易量
61%
↓ 6,200美元
$42,720 交易量
14%
↓ $6,000
$0 交易量
28%
↓ 5,800美元
$37,004 交易量
8%
↓ 5,200
$50,483 交易量
7%
↓ 4,500美元
$54,191 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500, trading near 7,786 as of mid-August 2026 after a 14% year-to-date advance, faces primary pressure from Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% following a divided July FOMC decision, markets now price potential rate hikes by year-end amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and persistent core inflation. Recent labor data and elevated producer prices have shifted trader focus toward tighter monetary conditions rather than cuts, influencing equity valuations through higher discount rates and Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment and CPI releases, plus Q3 earnings that will test AI-driven revenue momentum in tech-heavy components. These factors create a closely contested path for index levels by December, with inflation trajectory and policy signals likely to dictate near-term direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$302,228結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500, trading near 7,786 as of mid-August 2026 after a 14% year-to-date advance, faces primary pressure from Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% following a divided July FOMC decision, markets now price potential rate hikes by year-end amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and persistent core inflation. Recent labor data and elevated producer prices have shifted trader focus toward tighter monetary conditions rather than cuts, influencing equity valuations through higher discount rates and Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment and CPI releases, plus Q3 earnings that will test AI-driven revenue momentum in tech-heavy components. These factors create a closely contested path for index levels by December, with inflation trajectory and policy signals likely to dictate near-term direction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$302,228結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500, trading near 7,786 as of mid-August 2026 after a 14% year-to-date advance, faces primary pressure from Federal Reserve policy uncertainty. With the federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% following a divided July FOMC decision, markets now price potential rate hikes by year-end amid July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year and persistent core inflation. Recent labor data and elevated producer prices have shifted trader focus toward tighter monetary conditions rather than cuts, influencing equity valuations through higher discount rates and Treasury yields. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, August employment and CPI releases, plus Q3 earnings that will test AI-driven revenue momentum in tech-heavy components. These factors create a closely contested path for index levels by December, with inflation trajectory and policy signals likely to dictate near-term direction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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