Recent analyst downgrades have anchored trader consensus around a sub-$52 million domestic opening for the June 26 release of Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow, with that bracket holding a dominant 77.5% implied probability. Box Office Pro’s latest long-range forecast of $45–55 million and Box Office Theory’s $47–58 million range reflect softening presales momentum and caution ahead of Toy Story 5’s strong holdover week, alongside a crowded summer corridor. Early June tracking from Deadline had pointed to $55 million-plus with solid unaided awareness and presales outpacing The Marvels, yet subsequent revisions have aligned expectations closer to The Flash’s 2023 debut than higher-performing DC titles like Black Adam. With the wide release now only days away, final pre-weekend data and audience reception will determine whether any late surge can shift the market away from the sub-$52 million outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《女超人》周末首映票房
低於5200萬 62%
5200-5800萬 16%
>七千萬 7.5%
5800萬-6400萬 5.5%
低於5200萬
62%
5200-5800萬
16%
5800萬-6400萬
6%
6400萬-7000萬
9%
>七千萬
8%
低於5200萬 62%
5200-5800萬 16%
>七千萬 7.5%
5800萬-6400萬 5.5%
低於5200萬
62%
5200-5800萬
16%
5800萬-6400萬
6%
6400萬-7000萬
9%
>七千萬
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Jun 17, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyst downgrades have anchored trader consensus around a sub-$52 million domestic opening for the June 26 release of Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow, with that bracket holding a dominant 77.5% implied probability. Box Office Pro’s latest long-range forecast of $45–55 million and Box Office Theory’s $47–58 million range reflect softening presales momentum and caution ahead of Toy Story 5’s strong holdover week, alongside a crowded summer corridor. Early June tracking from Deadline had pointed to $55 million-plus with solid unaided awareness and presales outpacing The Marvels, yet subsequent revisions have aligned expectations closer to The Flash’s 2023 debut than higher-performing DC titles like Black Adam. With the wide release now only days away, final pre-weekend data and audience reception will determine whether any late surge can shift the market away from the sub-$52 million outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions