The deep field of over 400 titled players in the weekly Chess.com blitz event creates an inherently open outcome, with Carlsen's modest 12.6% implied probability reflecting his historical edge and recent August victory while recent winners like Duda (Aug 25), Le Tuan Minh (Aug 18), and Firouzja highlight how form, pairings, and variance frequently produce different champions. Multiple 3200+ rated grandmasters including Erigaisi, Nakamura, Vachier-Lagrave, and rising talents such as Lazavik and Movahed maintain comparable chances through consistent high-level participation and strong recent results, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as no participant dominates the Swiss-system format week to week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Magnus Carlsen 16.7%
Vladislav Artemiev 13.0%
Hikaru Nakamura 9.3%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Magnus Carlsen
17%
Vladislav Artemiev
13%
Hikaru Nakamura
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Arjun Erigaisi
9%
Jules Moussard
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Aleksandr Shimanov
8%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Jose Martinez
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Faustino Oro
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Jeffery Xiong
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
David Anton
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
Magnus Carlsen 16.7%
Vladislav Artemiev 13.0%
Hikaru Nakamura 9.3%
Brandon Jacobson 9%
Magnus Carlsen
17%
Vladislav Artemiev
13%
Hikaru Nakamura
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Arjun Erigaisi
9%
Jules Moussard
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
Aleksandr Shimanov
8%
Alireza Firouzja
7%
Jose Martinez
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Ding Liren
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Fabiano Caruana
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Haik Martirosyan
4%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
4%
Le Tuan Minh
4%
Hans Niemann
4%
Parham Maghsoodloo
4%
Pranesh Munirethinam
4%
Pranav Venkatesh
4%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
4%
Faustino Oro
4%
Rudik Makarian
4%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
4%
Dau Khuong Duy
4%
Jeffery Xiong
4%
Andrey Esipenko
4%
Benjamin Bok
4%
Bardiya Daneshvar
4%
Volen Dyulgerov
4%
Nikolas Theodorou
4%
Sam Sevian
4%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
4%
Levon Aronian
4%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
4%
Dmitry Andreikin
4%
Sergey Sklokin
4%
Matthias Bluebaum
4%
Wesley So
4%
Aleksandar Indjic
4%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
4%
Dincer Tasdogen
4%
Frederik Svane
4%
Haowen Xue
4%
Renato Terry Lujan
4%
Rasmus Svane
4%
Aravindh Chithambaram
4%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
4%
Alexander Grischuk
4%
David Anton
4%
Vincent Keymer
4%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The deep field of over 400 titled players in the weekly Chess.com blitz event creates an inherently open outcome, with Carlsen's modest 12.6% implied probability reflecting his historical edge and recent August victory while recent winners like Duda (Aug 25), Le Tuan Minh (Aug 18), and Firouzja highlight how form, pairings, and variance frequently produce different champions. Multiple 3200+ rated grandmasters including Erigaisi, Nakamura, Vachier-Lagrave, and rising talents such as Lazavik and Movahed maintain comparable chances through consistent high-level participation and strong recent results, keeping probabilities tightly clustered as no participant dominates the Swiss-system format week to week.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions