Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong trader consensus. Virginia has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, bolstered by Warner's long tenure since 2009, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent polling leads exceeding 15-20 points against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who emerged from the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, underscoring limited GOP viability in the state. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal involving Warner, a national political wave favoring the GOP, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the typical electorate composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,427 交易量
$14,427 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$14,427 交易量
$14,427 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$8,722 交易量
94%
共和黨
$5,706 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong trader consensus. Virginia has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, bolstered by Warner's long tenure since 2009, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent polling leads exceeding 15-20 points against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who emerged from the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, underscoring limited GOP viability in the state. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal involving Warner, a national political wave favoring the GOP, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the typical electorate composition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$14,427結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong trader consensus. Virginia has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, bolstered by Warner's long tenure since 2009, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent polling leads exceeding 15-20 points against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who emerged from the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, underscoring limited GOP viability in the state. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal involving Warner, a national political wave favoring the GOP, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the typical electorate composition.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$14,427結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race, reflected in the market's strong trader consensus. Virginia has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, bolstered by Warner's long tenure since 2009, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent polling leads exceeding 15-20 points against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, who emerged from the August 4 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, underscoring limited GOP viability in the state. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major scandal involving Warner, a national political wave favoring the GOP, or unusually low Democratic turnout that alters the typical electorate composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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