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icon for Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

icon for Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?

51% 機率
Polymarket
最新
51% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year.

Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying confirmations include:
- Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview).
- Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution.
- Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year.

Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying confirmations include:
- Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview).
- Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution.
- Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Jun 22, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
This market asks whether Vitalik’s anonymous Ethereum writing, announced on June 22, is found and confirmed to be correctly identified by end of year. Vitalik’s announcement post: https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2069080988097876084 (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Vitalik+Tweet.png) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vitalik Buterin explicitly confirms, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirms, that a specific, published document has been correctly identified as one he authored anonymously, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying confirmations include: - Vitalik directly acknowledges the document has been discovered and correctly attributed to him (e.g., via X post, blog, or interview). - Credible reporting that cites Vitalik confirming the attribution. - Any public statement from Vitalik indicating the challenge has been solved with the correct document identified. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vitalik Buterin (https://x.com/VitalikButerin), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 51% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 51¢, the market collectively assigns a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?" is 51% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 51% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Vitalik's Anonymous Ethereum Document Confirmed Identified?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.