Skip to main content

變數 預測與賠率

·
Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

96%

$100M

$1M 交易量

$154K Liq.

35

Ends 超過 1 年內

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

76%

December 31, 2026

$360K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

37

Ends 4 個月前

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$177 Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$18.1K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

STATE

$2.8K 交易量

Ends 3 天前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$12.1K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 1 天前

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

LoL: PCIFIC  vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

100%

PCIFIC

$47.3K 交易量

Ends 大約 21 小時前

Valorant: Elevate vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B

Valorant: Elevate vs RED Canids (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B

50%

RED Canids

$0 交易量

$16 Liq.

Ends 大約 6 小時內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

AaB Esport

$19.4K 交易量

Ends 7 天前

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

XI Esport

$140K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 26 天前

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K 交易量

Ends 24 天前

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$935 Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Valorant: Ghools Esports vs BAAM Esports (BO5) - VCL MENA: Resilience Pulse Stage North Africa Playoffs

Valorant: Ghools Esports vs BAAM Esports (BO5) - VCL MENA: Resilience Pulse Stage North Africa Playoffs

60%

Ghools Esports

$0 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

AaB Esport

$40.9K 交易量

Ends 22 天前

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

100%

magic

$964K 交易量

$959K today

Ends 大約 10 小時前

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2

60%

Team Liquid

$11 交易量

$3.5K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Entropy vs WAZABI (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A

100%

Entropy

$4.0K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

June 30, 2027

$477K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

33

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 變數.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 變數 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 變數 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.