**Heavy, multi-day rainfall totaling more than 11 inches across central Indiana has driven rapid runoff into the White River basin, pushing upstream gauges to record levels (e.g., Noblesville cresting near 24.6 ft) and propagating downstream toward Indianapolis.** National Weather Service forecasts issued around August 14–15 projected a crest of approximately 21.1 ft at the Indianapolis gauge on the evening of August 15, with some local updates noting 20.5–21.4 ft in the Nora/Broad Ripple reach—levels firmly in the moderate-to-major flooding category (moderate flooding begins at 20 ft). These conditions, combined with saturated soils and limited additional rainfall in the final hours before crest, produced a narrow but elevated probability distribution centered above 20 ft. Live gauge data and NWS updates through August 16 continue to show the river near or slightly above this threshold before recession begins, reinforcing trader consensus that the peak will exceed 20 ft while leaving only modest room for lower outcomes if final measurements revise downward. Upcoming NWS hydrograph updates and official crest confirmations remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2026年8月的洪水期間，印第安納波利斯的白河將在什麼時候達到頂峯？
在2026年8月的洪水期間，印第安納波利斯的白河將在什麼時候達到頂峯？
超過20英尺 83%
17–20英尺 16%
14–17英尺 2.9%
低於14英尺 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低於14英尺
<1%
14–17英尺
3%
17–20英尺
16%
超過20英尺
83%
超過20英尺 83%
17–20英尺 16%
14–17英尺 2.9%
低於14英尺 <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
低於14英尺
$1,033 交易量
<1%
14–17英尺
$884 交易量
3%
17–20英尺
$1,282 交易量
16%
超過20英尺
$2,760 交易量
83%
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.**Heavy, multi-day rainfall totaling more than 11 inches across central Indiana has driven rapid runoff into the White River basin, pushing upstream gauges to record levels (e.g., Noblesville cresting near 24.6 ft) and propagating downstream toward Indianapolis.** National Weather Service forecasts issued around August 14–15 projected a crest of approximately 21.1 ft at the Indianapolis gauge on the evening of August 15, with some local updates noting 20.5–21.4 ft in the Nora/Broad Ripple reach—levels firmly in the moderate-to-major flooding category (moderate flooding begins at 20 ft).
These conditions, combined with saturated soils and limited additional rainfall in the final hours before crest, produced a narrow but elevated probability distribution centered above 20 ft. Live gauge data and NWS updates through August 16 continue to show the river near or slightly above this threshold before recession begins, reinforcing trader consensus that the peak will exceed 20 ft while leaving only modest room for lower outcomes if final measurements revise downward. Upcoming NWS hydrograph updates and official crest confirmations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
交易量
$5,959結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.**Heavy, multi-day rainfall totaling more than 11 inches across central Indiana has driven rapid runoff into the White River basin, pushing upstream gauges to record levels (e.g., Noblesville cresting near 24.6 ft) and propagating downstream toward Indianapolis.** National Weather Service forecasts issued around August 14–15 projected a crest of approximately 21.1 ft at the Indianapolis gauge on the evening of August 15, with some local updates noting 20.5–21.4 ft in the Nora/Broad Ripple reach—levels firmly in the moderate-to-major flooding category (moderate flooding begins at 20 ft).
These conditions, combined with saturated soils and limited additional rainfall in the final hours before crest, produced a narrow but elevated probability distribution centered above 20 ft. Live gauge data and NWS updates through August 16 continue to show the river near or slightly above this threshold before recession begins, reinforcing trader consensus that the peak will exceed 20 ft while leaving only modest room for lower outcomes if final measurements revise downward. Upcoming NWS hydrograph updates and official crest confirmations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
交易量
$5,959結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Heavy, multi-day rainfall totaling more than 11 inches across central Indiana has driven rapid runoff into the White River basin, pushing upstream gauges to record levels (e.g., Noblesville cresting near 24.6 ft) and propagating downstream toward Indianapolis.** National Weather Service forecasts issued around August 14–15 projected a crest of approximately 21.1 ft at the Indianapolis gauge on the evening of August 15, with some local updates noting 20.5–21.4 ft in the Nora/Broad Ripple reach—levels firmly in the moderate-to-major flooding category (moderate flooding begins at 20 ft). These conditions, combined with saturated soils and limited additional rainfall in the final hours before crest, produced a narrow but elevated probability distribution centered above 20 ft. Live gauge data and NWS updates through August 16 continue to show the river near or slightly above this threshold before recession begins, reinforcing trader consensus that the peak will exceed 20 ft while leaving only modest room for lower outcomes if final measurements revise downward. Upcoming NWS hydrograph updates and official crest confirmations remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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