Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$231,429 交易量
2026-03-22
民主黨（D）
98%
新斯洛文尼亞－基督教民主黨（NSi）
97%
斯洛維尼亞民主黨（SDS）
97%
斯洛維尼亞人民黨（SLS）
62%
Resni.ca (Res)
4%
自由運動（GS）
4%
Mi，社會主義者！（Mi！）
4%
左翼（Levica）
3%
社會民主黨（SD）
1%
Vesna－綠黨（Vesna）
1%
我們的國家（ND）
1%
普雷羅德（PVP）
1%
斯洛維尼亞國家黨（SNS）
<1%
斯洛維尼亞海盜黨（PPS）
<1%
世代黨（SG）
44%
$231,429 交易量
民主黨（D）
$23,865 交易量
98%
新斯洛文尼亞－基督教民主黨（NSi）
$10,612 交易量
97%
斯洛維尼亞民主黨（SDS）
$27,814 交易量
97%
斯洛維尼亞人民黨（SLS）
$12,798 交易量
62%
Resni.ca (Res)
$56,889 交易量
4%
自由運動（GS）
$46,612 交易量
4%
Mi，社會主義者！（Mi！）
$862 交易量
4%
左翼（Levica）
$10,427 交易量
3%
社會民主黨（SD）
$13,949 交易量
1%
Vesna－綠黨（Vesna）
$2,457 交易量
1%
我們的國家（ND）
$4,329 交易量
1%
普雷羅德（PVP）
$2,479 交易量
1%
斯洛維尼亞國家黨（SNS）
$3,212 交易量
<1%
斯洛維尼亞海盜黨（PPS）
$14,095 交易量
<1%
世代黨（SG）
$1,029 交易量
44%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
市場開放時間： Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
交易量
$231,429結束日期
2026-03-22市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
交易量
$231,429結束日期
2026-03-22市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Slovenia's March 2026 parliamentary elections produced a hung parliament in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's Freedom Movement securing 29 seats and Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party taking 28, leaving neither bloc near the 46-seat majority threshold. Seven parties entered parliament, including newcomers Demokrati and Resni.ca, while smaller groups such as the NSi-SLS-Fokus alliance, Social Democrats, Levica, and others now hold decisive kingmaker roles in coalition talks. Golob's initial attempts to assemble a center-left government collapsed amid rejections from center-right parties, shifting momentum toward protracted negotiations or potential early elections if a stable majority cannot form. These dynamics underscore the fragmented landscape shaping which parties ultimately join the next cabinet.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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