Islam Makhachev captured the UFC welterweight title in November 2025 with a dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322, establishing himself as the clear frontrunner to remain champion through the end of 2026. Traders price his retention at 72.5% due to his elite wrestling, grappling control, and seamless move up from lightweight, where he compiled an undefeated run before vacating that belt. Ian Machado Garry sits at 15.7% as the top domestic contender following recent statement wins, while Carlos Prates, Michael Morales, and others register minimal implied probabilities amid a deep but unproven queue. Makhachev’s first title defense timeline, potential matchups with Garry or rising prospects, and the division’s stylistic challenges for challengers underpin the current consensus reflected in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫 80%
伊恩·馬查多·加里 10.8%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯 1.3%
Shavkat Rakhmonov <1%
$608,647 交易量
$608,647 交易量
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
74%
伊恩·馬查多·加里
16%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
卡馬魯·烏斯曼
<1%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
戰士A
<1%
傑克·德拉·馬達倫納
<1%
貝拉爾·穆罕默德
<1%
利昂·愛德華茲
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫 80%
伊恩·馬查多·加里 10.8%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯 1.3%
Shavkat Rakhmonov <1%
$608,647 交易量
$608,647 交易量
伊斯蘭·馬哈切夫
74%
伊恩·馬查多·加里
16%
卡洛斯·普拉特斯
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
卡馬魯·烏斯曼
<1%
邁克爾·莫拉雷斯
<1%
Sean Brady
<1%
戰士A
<1%
傑克·德拉·馬達倫納
<1%
貝拉爾·穆罕默德
<1%
利昂·愛德華茲
<1%
Joaquin Buckley
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
市場開放時間: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev captured the UFC welterweight title in November 2025 with a dominant unanimous decision over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322, establishing himself as the clear frontrunner to remain champion through the end of 2026. Traders price his retention at 72.5% due to his elite wrestling, grappling control, and seamless move up from lightweight, where he compiled an undefeated run before vacating that belt. Ian Machado Garry sits at 15.7% as the top domestic contender following recent statement wins, while Carlos Prates, Michael Morales, and others register minimal implied probabilities amid a deep but unproven queue. Makhachev’s first title defense timeline, potential matchups with Garry or rising prospects, and the division’s stylistic challenges for challengers underpin the current consensus reflected in these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions