Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
Who will die in Spider-Man: Brand New Day?
最新
Peter Parker (Tom Holland)
43%
Michelle "MJ" Jones
48%
Ned Leeds
50%
Frank Castle
38%
Bruce Banner
38%
Mac Gargan
52%
Lonnie Lincoln
52%
$0.00 交易量
Peter Parker (Tom Holland)
$0 交易量
43%
Michelle "MJ" Jones
$0 交易量
48%
Ned Leeds
$0 交易量
50%
Frank Castle
$0 交易量
38%
Bruce Banner
$0 交易量
38%
Mac Gargan
$0 交易量
52%
Lonnie Lincoln
$0 交易量
52%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
交易量
$0市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$0市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions