Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury, diagnosed as tenosynovitis after the Barcelona Open in April, remains the dominant factor shaping the 62.5% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The world No. 2 has not played a competitive match since then, missing Roland Garros and Wimbledon while prioritizing rehabilitation. His inclusion on the official entry list and recent shift to full-intensity training support a realistic path to participation as defending champion, though the absence of tune-up events like Cincinnati leaves fitness questions open. Traders appear to weigh the four-month layoff and lack of match play against his stated goal of returning for the hard-court major, resulting in a moderate rather than overwhelming consensus on his availability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於63% 機率
$14,160 交易量
$14,160 交易量
63% 機率
$14,160 交易量
$14,160 交易量
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury, diagnosed as tenosynovitis after the Barcelona Open in April, remains the dominant factor shaping the 62.5% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The world No. 2 has not played a competitive match since then, missing Roland Garros and Wimbledon while prioritizing rehabilitation. His inclusion on the official entry list and recent shift to full-intensity training support a realistic path to participation as defending champion, though the absence of tune-up events like Cincinnati leaves fitness questions open. Traders appear to weigh the four-month layoff and lack of match play against his stated goal of returning for the hard-court major, resulting in a moderate rather than overwhelming consensus on his availability.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$14,160市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury, diagnosed as tenosynovitis after the Barcelona Open in April, remains the dominant factor shaping the 62.5% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The world No. 2 has not played a competitive match since then, missing Roland Garros and Wimbledon while prioritizing rehabilitation. His inclusion on the official entry list and recent shift to full-intensity training support a realistic path to participation as defending champion, though the absence of tune-up events like Cincinnati leaves fitness questions open. Traders appear to weigh the four-month layoff and lack of match play against his stated goal of returning for the hard-court major, resulting in a moderate rather than overwhelming consensus on his availability.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$14,160市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz’s wrist injury, diagnosed as tenosynovitis after the Barcelona Open in April, remains the dominant factor shaping the 62.5% implied probability for a US Open appearance. The world No. 2 has not played a competitive match since then, missing Roland Garros and Wimbledon while prioritizing rehabilitation. His inclusion on the official entry list and recent shift to full-intensity training support a realistic path to participation as defending champion, though the absence of tune-up events like Cincinnati leaves fitness questions open. Traders appear to weigh the four-month layoff and lack of match play against his stated goal of returning for the hard-court major, resulting in a moderate rather than overwhelming consensus on his availability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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