ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4.2百萬
95%
430萬
70%
440萬
62%
450萬
53%
460萬
31%
$1,438 交易量
4.2百萬
95%
430萬
70%
440萬
62%
450萬
53%
460萬
31%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 18, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...ExxonMobil’s Q2 2026 upstream production faces the interplay of strong volume growth from its core advantaged assets in the Permian Basin and Guyana against base declines, divestments, and operational disruptions elsewhere. Q1 net production reached 4.594 million oil-equivalent barrels per day, with Guyana posting a record above 900 thousand gross barrels daily, while the company guided Q2 output in the 4.1–4.3 million boe/d range at its May earnings update. Geopolitical tensions, including the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran and potential Strait of Hormuz disruptions, introduced downside risks estimated at up to 750,000 barrels per day if sustained, though non-Middle East volumes were projected to rise roughly 150,000 boe/d quarter-over-quarter. Traders will focus on the July 31 earnings release for the final figure, with implied probabilities reflecting uncertainty around these offsetting factors and any last-minute operational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions