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icon for 以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?

以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?

icon for 以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?

以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?

4% 機率
Polymarket

$92,302 交易量

4% 機率
Polymarket

$92,302 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has maintained an official stance against territorial claims in the Gaza Strip, with recent developments instead centered on post-conflict governance through a U.S.-backed transitional committee and reconstruction framework established earlier in 2026. Cabinet actions and ministerial statements have prioritized de facto administrative integration in the West Bank via land registration and settlement approvals, while no comparable legislative or executive steps target Gaza annexation before the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 96 percent reflects this policy continuity, limited time remaining, and sustained international diplomatic pressure favoring demilitarization over sovereignty extension. Late developments such as a major security escalation or unexpected coalition shift could still prompt reconsideration within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$92,302
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has maintained an official stance against territorial claims in the Gaza Strip, with recent developments instead centered on post-conflict governance through a U.S.-backed transitional committee and reconstruction framework established earlier in 2026. Cabinet actions and ministerial statements have prioritized de facto administrative integration in the West Bank via land registration and settlement approvals, while no comparable legislative or executive steps target Gaza annexation before the June 30 deadline. Trader consensus at 96 percent reflects this policy continuity, limited time remaining, and sustained international diplomatic pressure favoring demilitarization over sovereignty extension. Late developments such as a major security escalation or unexpected coalition shift could still prompt reconsideration within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$92,302
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Oct 15, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加薩地區嗎?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?" has generated $92.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?" is "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加薩地區嗎?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "以色列會在2026年6月30日前吞併加沙領土嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.