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icon for Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

icon for Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?

10% 機率
Polymarket
最新

10% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ron DeSantis remaining outside the Trump administration through June 30 reflects the lack of any recent public signals, statements, or procedural steps pointing toward a cabinet nomination or other executive appointment. DeSantis continues serving his second term as Florida governor with no announced plans to resign or transition, and Senate confirmation processes for high-level positions typically require weeks of vetting and hearings that exceed the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns of post-election staffing show most major roles filled well before mid-2026, leaving limited openings that align with DeSantis’s current focus on state policy priorities. While late developments such as unexpected vacancies or direct outreach could still alter the outlook, the current evidence supports the strong implied probability against a move by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,186
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Ron DeSantis remaining outside the Trump administration through June 30 reflects the lack of any recent public signals, statements, or procedural steps pointing toward a cabinet nomination or other executive appointment. DeSantis continues serving his second term as Florida governor with no announced plans to resign or transition, and Senate confirmation processes for high-level positions typically require weeks of vetting and hearings that exceed the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns of post-election staffing show most major roles filled well before mid-2026, leaving limited openings that align with DeSantis’s current focus on state policy priorities. While late developments such as unexpected vacancies or direct outreach could still alter the outlook, the current evidence supports the strong implied probability against a move by the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,186
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Apr 21, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "羅恩·德桑蒂斯會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" is "羅恩·德桑蒂斯會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ron DeSantis會在6月30日前加入川普政府嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.