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icon for Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?

Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?

icon for Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?

Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?

5% 機率
Polymarket
最新

5% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a U.S.-born citizen from New York City underpins the overwhelming 96% “No” consensus, as federal law protects citizens from deportation absent extraordinary circumstances like proven naturalization fraud. Recent coverage has centered on his May 2026 lifetime visa ban and removal from Australia over controversial content, yet this international incident has produced no parallel U.S. proceedings or enforcement signals. Ongoing online feuds, including exchanges with Elon Musk on migration topics, have generated headlines without triggering immigration scrutiny. Traders view the legal threshold for citizen removal as exceptionally high, with few historical parallels in entertainment figures. Any upset would require rare developments such as major criminal convictions tied to immigration violations or abrupt policy changes, scenarios traders currently price as remote before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
交易量
$553
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.Sneako’s status as a U.S.-born citizen from New York City underpins the overwhelming 96% “No” consensus, as federal law protects citizens from deportation absent extraordinary circumstances like proven naturalization fraud. Recent coverage has centered on his May 2026 lifetime visa ban and removal from Australia over controversial content, yet this international incident has produced no parallel U.S. proceedings or enforcement signals. Ongoing online feuds, including exchanges with Elon Musk on migration topics, have generated headlines without triggering immigration scrutiny. Traders view the legal threshold for citizen removal as exceptionally high, with few historical parallels in entertainment figures. Any upset would require rare developments such as major criminal convictions tied to immigration violations or abrupt policy changes, scenarios traders currently price as remote before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
交易量
$553
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nico Kenn De Balinthazy (Sneako) is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Sneako from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sneako 會在 2026 年被驅逐出境嗎?" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?" is "Sneako 會在 2026 年被驅逐出境嗎?" at just 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Sneako會在2026年被驅逐出境嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.