**CS2's record-setting performance at the 2026 IEM Cologne Major, peaking at 2.75 million concurrent viewers during the grand final, has significantly widened the gap with VALORANT's highest recent marks around 1.47 million at Champions 2025.** VALORANT's VCT 2026 Stage 1 events posted year-over-year declines of 20-30% across regions, with lower group-stage peaks and watch time compared to 2025. CS2 majors have consistently delivered stronger audience engagement through established tournament structures and broader international appeal, while VALORANT's circuit shows softening interest outside peak finals. These trends reinforce trader consensus around an 86% probability that VALORANT viewership will not surpass a CS2 Major in 2026, reflecting sustained differences in event scale and momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
市場開放時間: Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**CS2's record-setting performance at the 2026 IEM Cologne Major, peaking at 2.75 million concurrent viewers during the grand final, has significantly widened the gap with VALORANT's highest recent marks around 1.47 million at Champions 2025.** VALORANT's VCT 2026 Stage 1 events posted year-over-year declines of 20-30% across regions, with lower group-stage peaks and watch time compared to 2025. CS2 majors have consistently delivered stronger audience engagement through established tournament structures and broader international appeal, while VALORANT's circuit shows softening interest outside peak finals. These trends reinforce trader consensus around an 86% probability that VALORANT viewership will not surpass a CS2 Major in 2026, reflecting sustained differences in event scale and momentum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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