Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$70,585 交易量
$70,585 交易量

Democrat
77%

Republican
21%
$70,585 交易量
$70,585 交易量

Democrat
77%

Republican
21%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions