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世界杯決賽:美國觀眾

icon for 世界杯決賽:美國觀眾

世界杯決賽:美國觀眾

<30m 50%

30m-34m 50%

34m-38m 50%

38m-42m 50%

Polymarket
最新

<30m 50%

30m-34m 50%

34m-38m 50%

38m-42m 50%

Polymarket
最新

<30m

$0 交易量

50%

30m-34m

$0 交易量

50%

34m-38m

$0 交易量

50%

38m-42m

$0 交易量

50%

42m-46m

$0 交易量

50%

46m-50m

$0 交易量

50%

50m-54m

$0 交易量

50%

54m-58m

$0 交易量

50%

58m+

$0 交易量

50%

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.Record U.S. viewership across the 2026 FIFA World Cup has kept the final audience range wide open, with group-stage and knockout matches routinely topping prior benchmarks on Fox, Telemundo, and streaming platforms. USMNT exits in the round of 16 produced combined audiences near 30-50 million for marquee games, while quarterfinals maintained strong numbers in the mid-teens to low-20s million despite no host teams remaining. Favorable North American scheduling, expanded tournament format, and sustained soccer interest have supported momentum, yet the absence of the U.S. team in the July 19 final introduces uncertainty about whether championship appeal and primetime windows can match or exceed recent peaks. Trader pricing across multiple mid-range bins reflects this balance between proven tournament-wide gains and the specific lift (or lack thereof) expected for a non-U.S. final.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-07-19
市場開放時間
Jul 16, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having. If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for the FIFA World Cup Final may also be used. If the FIFA World Cup Final takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source for the FIFA World Cup Final viewership may be chosen.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"世界杯決賽:美國觀眾" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<30m" at 50%, followed by "30m-34m" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"世界杯決賽:美國觀眾" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "世界杯決賽:美國觀眾," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "世界杯決賽:美國觀眾" is "<30m" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30m-34m" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "世界杯決賽:美國觀眾" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.