Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, with no Democratic statewide victory since the 1970s, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against reelection, leaving a primary field led by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican amid limited Democratic primary competition and the state's consistent electoral margins. The August 18 primaries and November general remain months away, leaving room for late developments such as an upset primary outcome, significant candidate withdrawal, or broader national political realignment to shift the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,658 交易量
$15,658 交易量

共和黨
95%

民主黨
2%
$15,658 交易量
$15,658 交易量

共和黨
95%

民主黨
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican dominance in federal contests, with no Democratic statewide victory since the 1970s, underpins trader consensus that the GOP nominee will prevail in the open 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Cynthia Lummis opted against reelection, leaving a primary field led by U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, who holds endorsements from President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican amid limited Democratic primary competition and the state's consistent electoral margins. The August 18 primaries and November general remain months away, leaving room for late developments such as an upset primary outcome, significant candidate withdrawal, or broader national political realignment to shift the implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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