Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections drives trader consensus toward a GOP winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Senator Cynthia Lummis's retirement creates an open seat, yet the Republican primary features established candidates including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, backed by prominent endorsements, while Democratic primary efforts remain limited in a state with consistent one-party dominance. This positioning matches historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected primary outcome or significant national shifts altering turnout before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
共和黨
93%

民主黨
7%

共和黨
93%

民主黨
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide elections drives trader consensus toward a GOP winner in the 2026 Senate contest. Incumbent Senator Cynthia Lummis's retirement creates an open seat, yet the Republican primary features established candidates including U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman, backed by prominent endorsements, while Democratic primary efforts remain limited in a state with consistent one-party dominance. This positioning matches historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unexpected primary outcome or significant national shifts altering turnout before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions