Trader sentiment reflects Dolly Parton's narrow lead at 52% implied probability, driven by her sustained cultural visibility and age-related risk factors that could trigger outsized Google search volume if a passing occurs. The tight clustering of dozens of alternatives near 50% underscores high uncertainty in this competitive field, where outcomes depend on unpredictable timing, media amplification, and Google's search algorithms prioritizing breaking news around high-profile figures. Differentiating elements include baseline fame, recent public appearances, and potential for viral tributes versus lower-visibility candidates. Key upcoming catalysts remain any credible health updates or announcements that could rapidly shift aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于多莉·帕顿 52.0%
海登·潘妮蒂尔 14%
奥利弗·特里 12%
Chuck Norris 7%
$79,835 交易量
$79,835 交易量

多莉·帕顿
52%

海登·潘妮蒂尔
14%

奥利弗·特里
12%

Chuck Norris
7%

Ali Khamenei
5%

Kyle Busch
3%

Nicholas Brendon
2%

Bob Weir
2%

Scott Adams
2%

Lindsey Graham
1%

Renée Good
1%

Clive Davis
1%

南希·格思瑞
1%

Valentino Garavani
1%

Catherine O'Hara
1%

Victor Willis
1%

Alex Pretti
1%

David Hockney
<1%

James Van Der Beek
<1%

Bonnie Tyler
<1%

Robert Duvall
<1%

Eric Dane
<1%

Ted Turner
<1%

Sam Neill
<1%

Jesse Jackson
<1%

Alan Greenspan
<1%
多莉·帕顿 52.0%
海登·潘妮蒂尔 14%
奥利弗·特里 12%
Chuck Norris 7%
$79,835 交易量
$79,835 交易量

多莉·帕顿
52%

海登·潘妮蒂尔
14%

奥利弗·特里
12%

Chuck Norris
7%

Ali Khamenei
5%

Kyle Busch
3%

Nicholas Brendon
2%

Bob Weir
2%

Scott Adams
2%

Lindsey Graham
1%

Renée Good
1%

Clive Davis
1%

南希·格思瑞
1%

Valentino Garavani
1%

Catherine O'Hara
1%

Victor Willis
1%

Alex Pretti
1%

David Hockney
<1%

James Van Der Beek
<1%

Bonnie Tyler
<1%

Robert Duvall
<1%

Eric Dane
<1%

Ted Turner
<1%

Sam Neill
<1%

Jesse Jackson
<1%

Alan Greenspan
<1%
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Trader sentiment reflects Dolly Parton's narrow lead at 52% implied probability, driven by her sustained cultural visibility and age-related risk factors that could trigger outsized Google search volume if a passing occurs. The tight clustering of dozens of alternatives near 50% underscores high uncertainty in this competitive field, where outcomes depend on unpredictable timing, media amplification, and Google's search algorithms prioritizing breaking news around high-profile figures. Differentiating elements include baseline fame, recent public appearances, and potential for viral tributes versus lower-visibility candidates. Key upcoming catalysts remain any credible health updates or announcements that could rapidly shift aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题