Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the best AI model by end of 2026, reflecting its sustained edge in large language model benchmarks, reasoning performance, and safety-focused development. Recent model iterations and competitive positioning have widened the gap versus OpenAI and Google, bolstered by enterprise adoption and credible capability demonstrations. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases from rival labs that could alter trajectories, though the market-implied odds capture the current consensus on Anthropic's technical momentum amid rapid AI progress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Anthropic 71%
谷歌 11%
OpenAI 10%
Meta 5.0%
$1,319,529 交易量
$1,319,529 交易量
2026-12-31
Anthropic
71%
谷歌
11%
OpenAI
10%
Meta
5%
xAI
4%
DeepSeek
1%
阿里巴巴
1%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
百度
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Mistral
<1%
美团
<1%
微软
<1%
亚马逊
<1%
Anthropic 71%
谷歌 11%
OpenAI 10%
Meta 5.0%
$1,319,529 交易量
$1,319,529 交易量
2026-12-31
Anthropic
$161,672 交易量
71%
谷歌
$80,052 交易量
11%
OpenAI
$124,056 交易量
10%
Meta
$82,641 交易量
5%
xAI
$108,265 交易量
4%
DeepSeek
$91,864 交易量
1%
阿里巴巴
$72,435 交易量
1%
Moonshot
$92,096 交易量
1%
Z.ai
$76,274 交易量
1%
百度
$70,810 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$85,126 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$73,526 交易量
<1%
美团
$62,945 交易量
<1%
微软
$69,499 交易量
<1%
亚马逊
$68,268 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the best AI model by end of 2026, reflecting its sustained edge in large language model benchmarks, reasoning performance, and safety-focused development. Recent model iterations and competitive positioning have widened the gap versus OpenAI and Google, bolstered by enterprise adoption and credible capability demonstrations. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases from rival labs that could alter trajectories, though the market-implied odds capture the current consensus on Anthropic's technical momentum amid rapid AI progress.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
市场开放时间： Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
交易量
$1,319,529结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the best AI model by end of 2026, reflecting its sustained edge in large language model benchmarks, reasoning performance, and safety-focused development. Recent model iterations and competitive positioning have widened the gap versus OpenAI and Google, bolstered by enterprise adoption and credible capability demonstrations. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases from rival labs that could alter trajectories, though the market-implied odds capture the current consensus on Anthropic's technical momentum amid rapid AI progress.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$1,319,529结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETTrader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the best AI model by end of 2026, reflecting its sustained edge in large language model benchmarks, reasoning performance, and safety-focused development. Recent model iterations and competitive positioning have widened the gap versus OpenAI and Google, bolstered by enterprise adoption and credible capability demonstrations. Key upcoming catalysts include late-2026 releases from rival labs that could alter trajectories, though the market-implied odds capture the current consensus on Anthropic's technical momentum amid rapid AI progress.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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