The 2026 U.S. Open field remains exceptionally deep for the player to post the tournament's lowest single round, as reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 50% across dozens of contenders. U.S. Open setups emphasize firm greens, thick rough, and demanding pin placements that suppress scoring overall, yet any round can produce a low number when weather softens conditions or a player catches favorable breaks in ball-striking and putting. Recent form from players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele shows consistent ball-striking, but the single-round nature introduces high variance where an in-form mid-tier player or even an outsider can match or exceed favorites on any given day. This dynamic keeps the market bunched, underscoring broad trader consensus on the event's unpredictability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Scottie Scheffler 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Xander Schauffele 50%
Ludvig Åberg 50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Ludvig Åberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
J.T. Poston
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
David Puig
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Alex Noren
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Dustin Johnson
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Jason Day
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Cameron Smith
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Lucas Herbert
49%
Harris English
48%
Jordan Spieth
46%
Tommy Fleetwood
46%
Rickie Fowler
45%
Scottie Scheffler 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Xander Schauffele 50%
Ludvig Åberg 50%
Scottie Scheffler
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Ludvig Åberg
50%
Aaron Rai
50%
Justin Thomas
50%
Tyrrell Hatton
50%
Ryan Gerard
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Reed
50%
Viktor Hovland
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Patrick Cantlay
50%
Maverick McNealy
50%
J.T. Poston
50%
Joaquin Niemann
50%
David Puig
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Russell Henley
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Jon Rahm
50%
J.J. Spaun
50%
Chris Gotterup
50%
Ben Griffin
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Si Woo Kim
50%
Sepp Straka
50%
Alex Noren
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Bryson DeChambeau
50%
Nicolai Højgaard
50%
Min Woo Lee
50%
Keegan Bradley
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Dustin Johnson
50%
Laurie Canter
50%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Jake Knapp
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Daniel Berger
49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Shane Lowry
49%
Jason Day
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Cameron Smith
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Lucas Herbert
49%
Harris English
48%
Jordan Spieth
46%
Tommy Fleetwood
46%
Rickie Fowler
45%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the final round in which they played. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys during the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the player with the best round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 U.S. Open field remains exceptionally deep for the player to post the tournament's lowest single round, as reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 50% across dozens of contenders. U.S. Open setups emphasize firm greens, thick rough, and demanding pin placements that suppress scoring overall, yet any round can produce a low number when weather softens conditions or a player catches favorable breaks in ball-striking and putting. Recent form from players such as Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele shows consistent ball-striking, but the single-round nature introduces high variance where an in-form mid-tier player or even an outsider can match or exceed favorites on any given day. This dynamic keeps the market bunched, underscoring broad trader consensus on the event's unpredictability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题