Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于谷歌 35%
阿里巴巴 25%
Meta 17%
Anthropic 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
谷歌
35%
阿里巴巴
25%
Meta
17%
Anthropic
14%
Moonshot
8%
DeepSeek
6%
OpenAI
6%
字节跳动
5%
美团
5%
Z.ai
4%
Mistral
4%
腾讯
4%
SpaceXAI
3%
百度
3%
Thinky
3%
MiniMax
3%
亚马逊
3%
小米
3%
StepFun
1%
微软
1%
Nvidia
1%
谷歌 35%
阿里巴巴 25%
Meta 17%
Anthropic 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
谷歌
$2,015 交易量
35%
阿里巴巴
$373 交易量
25%
Meta
$425 交易量
17%
Anthropic
$259 交易量
14%
Moonshot
$185 交易量
8%
DeepSeek
$150 交易量
6%
OpenAI
$155 交易量
6%
字节跳动
$311 交易量
5%
美团
$402 交易量
5%
Z.ai
$155 交易量
4%
Mistral
$255 交易量
4%
腾讯
$231 交易量
4%
SpaceXAI
$150 交易量
3%
百度
$150 交易量
3%
Thinky
$236 交易量
3%
MiniMax
$252 交易量
3%
亚马逊
$249 交易量
3%
小米
$358 交易量
3%
StepFun
$231 交易量
1%
微软
$216 交易量
1%
Nvidia
$231 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
交易量
$6,993结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$6,993结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google leads trader consensus for third place on the arena.ai Text Arena leaderboard (Style Control On) at end-October 2026, with recent Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Pro updates strengthening its multimodal reasoning and agentic performance. Tight competition from Alibaba’s Qwen 3 series, Meta’s Llama iterations, and fast-closing Chinese labs such as Moonshot and DeepSeek keeps probabilities clustered, as U.S.–China model gaps have narrowed sharply on public benchmarks. Anthropic and OpenAI remain favored for the top two spots, leaving the third position sensitive to incremental releases, context-window gains, and style-control consistency before the October 31 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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