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icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?

Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?

icon for Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?

Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?

12月 31

12月 31

12% 概率
Polymarket

$56,649 交易量

12% 概率
Polymarket

$56,649 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated his position as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment in January 2025, advancing a five-year roadmap that includes indirect parliamentary elections and institutional reforms while securing broad international recognition. Key recent developments include U.S. President Trump’s multiple meetings with al-Sharaa, the UN Security Council’s removal of sanctions on him and senior officials, and his administration’s handling of 2026 clashes with the Syrian Democratic Forces through decrees recognizing Kurdish rights and language alongside ceasefires and integration plans. These steps, combined with ongoing diplomatic outreach to Western and regional capitals, have strengthened his authority and reduced near-term risks of removal. Traders’ strong preference for the “No” outcome at 87.5% reflects this institutional momentum and the absence of viable challengers capable of forcing an early exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date, though persistent sectarian tensions and economic pressures remain potential longer-term variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$56,649
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ahmed al-Sharaa has consolidated his position as Syria’s transitional president since his formal appointment in January 2025, advancing a five-year roadmap that includes indirect parliamentary elections and institutional reforms while securing broad international recognition. Key recent developments include U.S. President Trump’s multiple meetings with al-Sharaa, the UN Security Council’s removal of sanctions on him and senior officials, and his administration’s handling of 2026 clashes with the Syrian Democratic Forces through decrees recognizing Kurdish rights and language alongside ceasefires and integration plans. These steps, combined with ongoing diplomatic outreach to Western and regional capitals, have strengthened his authority and reduced near-term risks of removal. Traders’ strong preference for the “No” outcome at 87.5% reflects this institutional momentum and the absence of viable challengers capable of forcing an early exit before the December 31, 2026 resolution date, though persistent sectarian tensions and economic pressures remain potential longer-term variables.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$56,649
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ahmed al-Sharaa ceases to be President of Syria for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ahmed al-Sharaa's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ahmed al-Sharaa and the government of Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"艾哈迈德·沙拉将在2026年12月31日前不再担任叙利亚领导人吗?",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?"已产生 $56.6K 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?"的当前领先者是"艾哈迈德·沙拉将在2026年12月31日前不再担任叙利亚领导人吗?",概率为 12%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Ahmed al-Sharaa在2026年12月31日之前成为叙利亚领导人?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。