Incumbent PP president Juanma Moreno holds a commanding position in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling leads that project 53–56 seats and a likely absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys show PP vote shares near 43 percent, reflecting voter approval of its regional governance record and contrast with national trends affecting PSOE-A, which faces projected support around 20–24 percent and a potential historic low in seats. Minor parties including Vox and Por Andalucía register in the mid-teens or lower, limiting coalition alternatives. The election occurs amid Spain’s broader regional voting calendar, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of major late-campaign shifts capable of overturning PP’s structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于PP 99.6%
AA <1%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
$116,686 交易量
$116,686 交易量
2026-05-17
PP
100%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.6%
AA <1%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
$116,686 交易量
$116,686 交易量
2026-05-17
PP
$32,219 交易量
100%
PSOE-A
$42,024 交易量
<1%
VOX
$32,894 交易量
<1%
PA
$5,124 交易量
<1%
AA
$4,426 交易量
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent PP president Juanma Moreno holds a commanding position in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling leads that project 53–56 seats and a likely absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys show PP vote shares near 43 percent, reflecting voter approval of its regional governance record and contrast with national trends affecting PSOE-A, which faces projected support around 20–24 percent and a potential historic low in seats. Minor parties including Vox and Por Andalucía register in the mid-teens or lower, limiting coalition alternatives. The election occurs amid Spain’s broader regional voting calendar, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of major late-campaign shifts capable of overturning PP’s structural advantage.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
交易量
$116,686结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Incumbent PP president Juanma Moreno holds a commanding position in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling leads that project 53–56 seats and a likely absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys show PP vote shares near 43 percent, reflecting voter approval of its regional governance record and contrast with national trends affecting PSOE-A, which faces projected support around 20–24 percent and a potential historic low in seats. Minor parties including Vox and Por Andalucía register in the mid-teens or lower, limiting coalition alternatives. The election occurs amid Spain’s broader regional voting calendar, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of major late-campaign shifts capable of overturning PP’s structural advantage.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
交易量
$116,686结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent PP president Juanma Moreno holds a commanding position in the Andalusian regional election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling leads that project 53–56 seats and a likely absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament. Recent surveys show PP vote shares near 43 percent, reflecting voter approval of its regional governance record and contrast with national trends affecting PSOE-A, which faces projected support around 20–24 percent and a potential historic low in seats. Minor parties including Vox and Por Andalucía register in the mid-teens or lower, limiting coalition alternatives. The election occurs amid Spain’s broader regional voting calendar, with trader consensus reflecting the absence of major late-campaign shifts capable of overturning PP’s structural advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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