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2026年中期选举赔率与预测

已更新 6月 27, 2026 下午 7:20 ET

2026 中期选举 赔率与预测

00
天
00
小时
00
分钟
00
秒
交易$100 -> $173
49 共和党51 民主党
交易$100 -> $121
208 共和党227 民主党
摇摆
略倾民主党
倾向民主党
稳固民主党
无竞选
略倾共和党
倾向共和党
稳固共和党

公投

热门议题市场
$4M 成交量

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

65% 概率不通过

+12.0%
交易
$6.3K 成交量

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

74% 概率不通过

-23.0%
交易
新

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

82% 概率不通过

+3.5%
交易

最大竞选

最关键的市场
$1M 成交量

AK Governor

58% 共和党

+0%
交易
$544K 成交量

TX Senate

50% 民主党

+0%
交易
$574K 成交量

ME Senate

61% 民主党

+1%
交易

所有竞选

519 市场
竞选
州
领先
层级
显示 25/50 个市场

2026年中期选举赔率

California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra
90%
Steve Hilton
8%
Alaska Governor Election Winner Tom Begich
31%
Bernadette Wilson
24%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
16%
Treg Taylor
7%
David Bronson
7%
Bill Walker
6%
Click Bishop
4%
Shelley Hughes
1%
Gregg Brelsford
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%
Nancy Dahlstrom
1%
Jessica Faircloth
1%
Maine Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
63%
Republican
39%
Texas Senate Election WinnerKen Paxton (R)
56%
James Talarico (D)
42%
AZ-01 Republican Primary WinnerJay Feely
79%
Joseph Chaplik
17%
Paul Reevs
1%
John Trobough
1%
Alaska Senate Election WinnerMary Peltola
70%
Dan Sullivan
31%
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of VictoryGallrein 9%+
99%
Gallrein 6-9%
1%
FL-06 Republican Primary WinnerRandy Fine
90%
Dan Bilzerian
3%
Charles Gambaro
1%
Michigan Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
84%
Republican
15%
Independent
3%
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Republican
66%
Independent
28%
Democrat
2%
CO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerMelat Kiros
78%
Diana DeGette
23%
Iowa Senate Election WinnerRepublican
55%
Democrat
45%
Ohio Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
51%
Republican
50%
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of VictoryLasher <5%
88%
Lasher 5–10%
7%
Lasher 10–15%
1%
Lasher 15%+
1%
Bores <5%
1%
North Carolina Senate Election WinnerRoy Cooper (D)
87%
Michael Whatley (R)
14%
AZ-05 Republican Primary WinnerDaniel Keenan
57%
Mark Lamb
36%
Travis Grantham
2%
Jay Feely
1%
CO-08 Democratic Primary WinnerManny Rutinel
96%
Shannon Bird
5%
Iowa Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
65%
Republican
36%
MA-06 Democratic Primary WinnerDan Koh
67%
Tram Nguyen
26%
Seth Moulton
1%
John Beccia
1%
Mariah Lancaster
1%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
1%
Kevin Larivee
1%
Dominick Pangallo
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Diann Slavit Baylis
1%
LA-05 Republican Primary WinnerMichael Echols
13%
Misti Cordell
12%
Blake Miguez
8%
Michael Mebruer
4%
Samuel Wyatt
2%
Austin Magee
1%
Georgia Governor Election WinnerRepublican
51%
Democrat
50%
Florida Senate Election WinnerRepublican
82%
Democrat
17%
FL-23 Democratic Primary WinnerLois Frankel
94%
Victoria Doyle
4%
Jared Moskowitz
2%
Oliver Adams Larkin
2%
Massachusetts Governor Election WinnerDemocrat
95%
Republican
5%
MN-02 Democratic Primary WinnerMatt Little
82%
Matt Klein
11%
Kaela Berg
7%
Kansas Senate Election WinnerRepublican
83%
Democrat
19%
Minnesota Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
91%
Republican
7%
MI-13 Democratic Primary WinnerDonavan McKinney
86%
Shri Thanedar
13%
Vermont Governor Election WinnerRepublican
86%
Democrat
14%
Illinois Senate Election WinnerJuliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
3%
FL-09 Republican Primary WinnerThomas Chalifoux
71%
Justin Story
9%
Marcus Carter
6%
Jorge Malavet
5%
Howard Steven Rance
3%
CO-03 Democratic Primary Winner Alex Kelloff
53%
Dwayne Romero
48%
MI-07 Democratic Primary WinnerBridget Brink
80%
William Lawrence
15%
Matt Maasdam
5%
NH-01 Democratic Primary WinnerStefany Shaheen
83%
Maura Sullivan
17%
Heath Howard
2%
Carleigh Beriont
1%
New Jersey Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
95%
Republican
5%
MO-01 Democratic Primary WinnerCori Bush
53%
Wesley Bell
49%
Oklahoma Senate Election WinnerRepublican
95%
Democrat
6%
CO-05 Democratic Primary WinnerJessica Killin
94%
Joe Reagan
6%
South Dakota Governor Election WinnerRepublican
94%
Democrat
7%
TN-09 Democratic Primary WinnerJustin Pearson
84%
London Lamar
29%
DeVante Hill
4%
Steve Cohen
3%
Louisiana Senate Election WinnerRepublican
93%
Democrat
8%
CT-01 Democratic Primary WinnerLuke Bronin
61%
John Larson
33%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Jillian Gilchrest
2%
Kentucky Senate Election WinnerAndy Barr (R)
94%
Charles Booker (D)
6%
Alaska At-Large Primary WinnersMatt Schultz
98%
Nick Begich III
95%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
46%
Gavin Solomon
25%
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
24%
FL-20 Democratic Primary WinnerDebbie Wasserman Schultz
52%
Elijah Manley
48%
Rudy Moise
1%
Dale Holness
1%
Maisha Williams
1%
New Hampshire Governor Election WinnerRepublican
69%
Democrat
28%
Virginia Senate Election WinnerDemocrat
93%
Republican
6%
Nebraska Governor Election WinnerRepublican
83%
Democrat
17%
MA-08 Democratic Primary WinnerStephen Lynch
67%
Patrick Roath
32%
Andrew Zylberfink
3%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes
36%

关于2026年美国中期选举

2026年美国中期选举定于2026年11月3日举行，将决定第120届美国国会的组成以及广泛的州和地方职位。全部435个众议院席位、100个参议院席位中的35个、美国各州36个州长职位以及全国各地众多州议会、行政和地方竞选都将出现在选票上。这是自1894年以来首次在非连续总统第二任期内举行的全国性中期选举，Donald Trump 总统在 Republicans 于2024年总统大选中横扫总统职位、参议院和众议院后重返白宫，建立了自2017年以来未曾出现的联邦政府统一执政。...

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