Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean and his primary victory with nearly 80% support. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded August primary but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1932. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by modest margins in some surveys, prompting forecasters to rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Marshall and 25.5% for Hamilton reflects these fundamentals alongside Hamilton's early fundraising edge and potential national midterm dynamics, with limited shifts observed in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,406 交易量
$52,406 交易量
2026-11-02
罗杰·马歇尔（共和党）
75%
亚当·汉密尔顿（民主党）
26%
$52,406 交易量
$52,406 交易量
2026-11-02
罗杰·马歇尔（共和党）
$33,940 交易量
75%
亚当·汉密尔顿（民主党）
$18,466 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean and his primary victory with nearly 80% support. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded August primary but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1932. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by modest margins in some surveys, prompting forecasters to rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Marshall and 25.5% for Hamilton reflects these fundamentals alongside Hamilton's early fundraising edge and potential national midterm dynamics, with limited shifts observed in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$52,406结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean and his primary victory with nearly 80% support. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded August primary but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1932. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by modest margins in some surveys, prompting forecasters to rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Marshall and 25.5% for Hamilton reflects these fundamentals alongside Hamilton's early fundraising edge and potential national midterm dynamics, with limited shifts observed in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$52,406结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETIncumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a strong position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican lean and his primary victory with nearly 80% support. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded August primary but faces structural headwinds in a state that last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1932. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by modest margins in some surveys, prompting forecasters to rate the contest Likely Republican or Lean Republican. Trader consensus at 74.5% for Marshall and 25.5% for Hamilton reflects these fundamentals alongside Hamilton's early fundraising edge and potential national midterm dynamics, with limited shifts observed in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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