Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 80% Republican consensus driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and Marshall's strong fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932. A fragmented Democratic primary field, including candidates like Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt, faces structural barriers in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index. August 4 primaries mark the next milestone, though no recent polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the trajectory, leaving traders focused on general election fundamentals and turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,874 交易量
$27,874 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
17%
$27,874 交易量
$27,874 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$16,846 交易量
80%
民主党
$11,028 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 80% Republican consensus driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and Marshall's strong fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932. A fragmented Democratic primary field, including candidates like Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt, faces structural barriers in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index. August 4 primaries mark the next milestone, though no recent polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the trajectory, leaving traders focused on general election fundamentals and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
交易量
$27,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 80% Republican consensus driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and Marshall's strong fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932. A fragmented Democratic primary field, including candidates like Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt, faces structural barriers in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index. August 4 primaries mark the next milestone, though no recent polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the trajectory, leaving traders focused on general election fundamentals and turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$27,874结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall holds a commanding position in the 2026 Kansas Senate race, reflected in the market's 80% Republican consensus driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and Marshall's strong fundraising edge with millions in cash reserves. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Republican, aligning with historical patterns where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1932. A fragmented Democratic primary field, including candidates like Adam Hamilton and Patrick Schmidt, faces structural barriers in a state with an R+8 partisan voting index. August 4 primaries mark the next milestone, though no recent polling shifts or major endorsements have altered the trajectory, leaving traders focused on general election fundamentals and turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题