Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' official filing for reelection on May 11 has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability in the KS-03 House race, reflecting her track record of double-digit victories in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite the district's suburban Johnson County base leaning toward Republicans in presidential races. The Kansas GOP swiftly criticized her alignment with national Democrats on inflation and border security, but no high-profile Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries. Davids faces a primary foe in Sarah Preu, while GOP nominee selection remains open; national midterm dynamics and recruitment could narrow the gap before November 3 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,257 交易量
$12,257 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
88%
共和党
14%
$12,257 交易量
$12,257 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,851 交易量
88%
共和党
$9,406 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' official filing for reelection on May 11 has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability in the KS-03 House race, reflecting her track record of double-digit victories in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite the district's suburban Johnson County base leaning toward Republicans in presidential races. The Kansas GOP swiftly criticized her alignment with national Democrats on inflation and border security, but no high-profile Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries. Davids faces a primary foe in Sarah Preu, while GOP nominee selection remains open; national midterm dynamics and recruitment could narrow the gap before November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,257结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' official filing for reelection on May 11 has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability in the KS-03 House race, reflecting her track record of double-digit victories in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite the district's suburban Johnson County base leaning toward Republicans in presidential races. The Kansas GOP swiftly criticized her alignment with national Democrats on inflation and border security, but no high-profile Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries. Davids faces a primary foe in Sarah Preu, while GOP nominee selection remains open; national midterm dynamics and recruitment could narrow the gap before November 3 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,257结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' official filing for reelection on May 11 has solidified trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87% implied probability in the KS-03 House race, reflecting her track record of double-digit victories in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024 despite the district's suburban Johnson County base leaning toward Republicans in presidential races. The Kansas GOP swiftly criticized her alignment with national Democrats on inflation and border security, but no high-profile Republican challenger has emerged ahead of the August 4 primaries. Davids faces a primary foe in Sarah Preu, while GOP nominee selection remains open; national midterm dynamics and recruitment could narrow the gap before November 3 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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