Luz Rivas, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote and faces Angélica María Dueñas in the November 3 general election for California's 29th congressional district. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat has produced consistent Democratic general-election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Rivas holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised through June compared with Dueñas's $37,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and Rivas's incumbency advantages. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Rivas the highest implied probability while limiting Dueñas's prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
卢兹·里瓦斯
88%
安赫利卡·玛丽亚·杜尼亚斯
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
卢兹·里瓦斯
$923 交易量
88%
安赫利卡·玛丽亚·杜尼亚斯
$242 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote and faces Angélica María Dueñas in the November 3 general election for California's 29th congressional district. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat has produced consistent Democratic general-election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Rivas holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised through June compared with Dueñas's $37,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and Rivas's incumbency advantages. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Rivas the highest implied probability while limiting Dueñas's prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,165结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote and faces Angélica María Dueñas in the November 3 general election for California's 29th congressional district. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat has produced consistent Democratic general-election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Rivas holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised through June compared with Dueñas's $37,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and Rivas's incumbency advantages. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Rivas the highest implied probability while limiting Dueñas's prospects.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,165结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETLuz Rivas, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote and faces Angélica María Dueñas in the November 3 general election for California's 29th congressional district. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley seat has produced consistent Democratic general-election margins above 40 points in recent cycles. Rivas holds a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised through June compared with Dueñas's $37,000. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan composition and Rivas's incumbency advantages. These factors underpin the current trader consensus assigning Rivas the highest implied probability while limiting Dueñas's prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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