The Missouri 5th congressional district race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to legal uncertainty surrounding the state's mid-decade redistricting map, which added rural counties and shifted the district toward Republican leanings while preserving a Kansas City core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded August primary field of Republican challengers including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others, with general election voters deciding in November. Recent candidate filings and ongoing court reviews of the map have kept probabilities tight, as any ruling altering boundaries or primary results could shift momentum. Fundraising reports and primary turnout will likely create separation before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
61%
民主党
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,729 交易量
61%
民主党
$1,156 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 5th congressional district race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to legal uncertainty surrounding the state's mid-decade redistricting map, which added rural counties and shifted the district toward Republican leanings while preserving a Kansas City core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded August primary field of Republican challengers including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others, with general election voters deciding in November. Recent candidate filings and ongoing court reviews of the map have kept probabilities tight, as any ruling altering boundaries or primary results could shift momentum. Fundraising reports and primary turnout will likely create separation before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$2,885结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri 5th congressional district race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to legal uncertainty surrounding the state's mid-decade redistricting map, which added rural counties and shifted the district toward Republican leanings while preserving a Kansas City core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded August primary field of Republican challengers including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others, with general election voters deciding in November. Recent candidate filings and ongoing court reviews of the map have kept probabilities tight, as any ruling altering boundaries or primary results could shift momentum. Fundraising reports and primary turnout will likely create separation before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,885结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 5th congressional district race remains closely contested in trader pricing due to legal uncertainty surrounding the state's mid-decade redistricting map, which added rural counties and shifted the district toward Republican leanings while preserving a Kansas City core. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver faces a crowded August primary field of Republican challengers including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others, with general election voters deciding in November. Recent candidate filings and ongoing court reviews of the map have kept probabilities tight, as any ruling altering boundaries or primary results could shift momentum. Fundraising reports and primary turnout will likely create separation before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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