Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces significant headwinds in New Jersey’s 7th district after a 117-day absence from Congress tied to a depression diagnosis, which shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Democrats and fueled questions about his fitness to serve. Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary and has drawn endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill. Recent polling showed Bennett ahead, while the district’s narrow 2024 Republican margin and broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party have reinforced trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Kean’s return to campaigning and fundraising remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
82%
共和党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$722 交易量
82%
共和党
$5,916 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces significant headwinds in New Jersey’s 7th district after a 117-day absence from Congress tied to a depression diagnosis, which shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Democrats and fueled questions about his fitness to serve. Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary and has drawn endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill. Recent polling showed Bennett ahead, while the district’s narrow 2024 Republican margin and broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party have reinforced trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Kean’s return to campaigning and fundraising remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$6,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces significant headwinds in New Jersey’s 7th district after a 117-day absence from Congress tied to a depression diagnosis, which shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Democrats and fueled questions about his fitness to serve. Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary and has drawn endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill. Recent polling showed Bennett ahead, while the district’s narrow 2024 Republican margin and broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party have reinforced trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Kean’s return to campaigning and fundraising remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces significant headwinds in New Jersey’s 7th district after a 117-day absence from Congress tied to a depression diagnosis, which shifted nonpartisan ratings toward Democrats and fueled questions about his fitness to serve. Rebecca Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot and healthcare executive, secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary and has drawn endorsements including from Governor Mikie Sherrill. Recent polling showed Bennett ahead, while the district’s narrow 2024 Republican margin and broader midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party have reinforced trader consensus for a Democratic victory. Kean’s return to campaigning and fundraising remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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