The New Jersey 7th congressional district’s even partisan voting index and recent statewide Democratic gains have shaped trader consensus that the eventual Democratic nominee holds the stronger position heading into the November general election. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces a narrow path in a district that has trended away from the GOP in recent cycles, with analysts moving ratings toward toss-up after 2025 results showed Democrats carrying the area by slim margins. A competitive Democratic primary on June 2 featuring multiple candidates endorsed by local party organizations adds uncertainty but also signals robust recruitment, while Kean’s unopposed Republican primary leaves limited room for internal momentum shifts before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
74%
共和党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$241 交易量
74%
共和党
$3,727 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Jersey 7th congressional district’s even partisan voting index and recent statewide Democratic gains have shaped trader consensus that the eventual Democratic nominee holds the stronger position heading into the November general election. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces a narrow path in a district that has trended away from the GOP in recent cycles, with analysts moving ratings toward toss-up after 2025 results showed Democrats carrying the area by slim margins. A competitive Democratic primary on June 2 featuring multiple candidates endorsed by local party organizations adds uncertainty but also signals robust recruitment, while Kean’s unopposed Republican primary leaves limited room for internal momentum shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$3,968结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New Jersey 7th congressional district’s even partisan voting index and recent statewide Democratic gains have shaped trader consensus that the eventual Democratic nominee holds the stronger position heading into the November general election. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces a narrow path in a district that has trended away from the GOP in recent cycles, with analysts moving ratings toward toss-up after 2025 results showed Democrats carrying the area by slim margins. A competitive Democratic primary on June 2 featuring multiple candidates endorsed by local party organizations adds uncertainty but also signals robust recruitment, while Kean’s unopposed Republican primary leaves limited room for internal momentum shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,968结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New Jersey 7th congressional district’s even partisan voting index and recent statewide Democratic gains have shaped trader consensus that the eventual Democratic nominee holds the stronger position heading into the November general election. Republican incumbent Tom Kean Jr. faces a narrow path in a district that has trended away from the GOP in recent cycles, with analysts moving ratings toward toss-up after 2025 results showed Democrats carrying the area by slim margins. A competitive Democratic primary on June 2 featuring multiple candidates endorsed by local party organizations adds uncertainty but also signals robust recruitment, while Kean’s unopposed Republican primary leaves limited room for internal momentum shifts before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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