Mississippi's solidly Republican electorate and incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's primary victory with over 80 percent support underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent Republican win probability in the November 2026 Senate race against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. The state delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential contests, and independent forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican based on fundamentals. Limited polling shows Hyde-Smith ahead, though recent surveys indicate some narrowing tied to Colom's name identification gains among Black voters. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually high Democratic turnout surge, late-breaking scandals affecting the incumbent, or a broader national shift against Republicans before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,686 交易量
$44,686 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$44,686 交易量
$44,686 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$26,966 交易量
95%
民主党
$17,720 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's solidly Republican electorate and incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's primary victory with over 80 percent support underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent Republican win probability in the November 2026 Senate race against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. The state delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential contests, and independent forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican based on fundamentals. Limited polling shows Hyde-Smith ahead, though recent surveys indicate some narrowing tied to Colom's name identification gains among Black voters. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually high Democratic turnout surge, late-breaking scandals affecting the incumbent, or a broader national shift against Republicans before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$44,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's solidly Republican electorate and incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's primary victory with over 80 percent support underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent Republican win probability in the November 2026 Senate race against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. The state delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential contests, and independent forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican based on fundamentals. Limited polling shows Hyde-Smith ahead, though recent surveys indicate some narrowing tied to Colom's name identification gains among Black voters. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually high Democratic turnout surge, late-breaking scandals affecting the incumbent, or a broader national shift against Republicans before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$44,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETMississippi's solidly Republican electorate and incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith's primary victory with over 80 percent support underpin trader consensus around a 94.5 percent Republican win probability in the November 2026 Senate race against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins. The state delivered double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential contests, and independent forecasters rate the contest safe or solid Republican based on fundamentals. Limited polling shows Hyde-Smith ahead, though recent surveys indicate some narrowing tied to Colom's name identification gains among Black voters. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually high Democratic turnout surge, late-breaking scandals affecting the incumbent, or a broader national shift against Republicans before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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