Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's commanding 80.8% victory in the March 10, 2026, primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win in deeply red Mississippi. The state's consistent Republican dominance—evident in supermajority legislative control and strong GOP presidential margins—combined with Hyde-Smith's superior fundraising ($5 million raised vs. Colom's $1.6 million as of late April) underpins the lopsided odds. A partisan April 8–12 Impact Research poll showed a tightening 42–39 lead for Hyde-Smith among likely voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent advantages and no major shifts in the past 30 days. Potential runoff looms December 1 absent a general election majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,540 交易量
$22,540 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
$22,540 交易量
$22,540 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,226 交易量
89%
民主党
$7,314 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's commanding 80.8% victory in the March 10, 2026, primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win in deeply red Mississippi. The state's consistent Republican dominance—evident in supermajority legislative control and strong GOP presidential margins—combined with Hyde-Smith's superior fundraising ($5 million raised vs. Colom's $1.6 million as of late April) underpins the lopsided odds. A partisan April 8–12 Impact Research poll showed a tightening 42–39 lead for Hyde-Smith among likely voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent advantages and no major shifts in the past 30 days. Potential runoff looms December 1 absent a general election majority.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$22,540结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's commanding 80.8% victory in the March 10, 2026, primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win in deeply red Mississippi. The state's consistent Republican dominance—evident in supermajority legislative control and strong GOP presidential margins—combined with Hyde-Smith's superior fundraising ($5 million raised vs. Colom's $1.6 million as of late April) underpins the lopsided odds. A partisan April 8–12 Impact Research poll showed a tightening 42–39 lead for Hyde-Smith among likely voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent advantages and no major shifts in the past 30 days. Potential runoff looms December 1 absent a general election majority.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,540结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith's commanding 80.8% victory in the March 10, 2026, primary over challenger Sarah Adlakha has solidified her path to the November 3 general election against Democrat Scott Colom and independent Ty Pinkins, reinforcing trader consensus at 89.5% for a GOP win in deeply red Mississippi. The state's consistent Republican dominance—evident in supermajority legislative control and strong GOP presidential margins—combined with Hyde-Smith's superior fundraising ($5 million raised vs. Colom's $1.6 million as of late April) underpins the lopsided odds. A partisan April 8–12 Impact Research poll showed a tightening 42–39 lead for Hyde-Smith among likely voters, but traders discount it amid historical incumbent advantages and no major shifts in the past 30 days. Potential runoff looms December 1 absent a general election majority.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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