Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
65%
民主党
31%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$330 交易量
65%
民主党
$208 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$537结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$537结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane holds a structural edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, rated Likely Republican by forecasters with an R+7 partisan voter index. This positioning stems from Crane's 2024 reelection margin of 54.5 percent against the same Democratic challenger, former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez, in a rematch set for November 2026. Primary elections scheduled for July 21 further clarify the field ahead of general election voting. Trader consensus at 58.5 percent for Republicans aligns with the district's consistent Republican tilt, even as national midterm dynamics and Democratic House control odds near 78 percent introduce modest uncertainty. No major developments in recent weeks have altered this balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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