Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House popular vote at 26.5%, reflecting surges in Democratic primary turnout during March contests in Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—often double recent midterm levels—amid polls showing an enthusiasm gap and souring approval for President Trump's second term. This positions the range above 2022's 108 million total but near 2018's record highs adjusted for voting-eligible population growth to roughly 245 million. Lower ranges like 120-125 million trail due to risks of Republican counter-mobilization on issues like immigration and the economy, voter fatigue, or subdued GOP primaries. Upcoming primaries through summer and generic ballot trends could consolidate odds, with sustained opposition energy tipping toward higher figures or base consolidation pulling them down.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.25亿-1.3亿 29%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.2亿-1.25亿 12%
1.10亿-1.15亿 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
<1%
8500万-9000万
<1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
1%
1亿-1.05亿
1%
1.05亿-1.1亿
5%
1.10亿-1.15亿
12%
1.15亿-1.2亿
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
29%
1.3亿+
11%
1.25亿-1.3亿 29%
1.15亿-1.2亿 16%
1.2亿-1.25亿 12%
1.10亿-1.15亿 12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$324 交易量
<1%
8500万-9000万
$419 交易量
<1%
9000万-9500万
$1,552 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$269 交易量
1%
1亿-1.05亿
$791 交易量
1%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$436 交易量
5%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$526 交易量
12%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$1,025 交易量
16%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$408 交易量
19%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,199 交易量
29%
1.3亿+
$294 交易量
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House popular vote at 26.5%, reflecting surges in Democratic primary turnout during March contests in Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—often double recent midterm levels—amid polls showing an enthusiasm gap and souring approval for President Trump's second term. This positions the range above 2022's 108 million total but near 2018's record highs adjusted for voting-eligible population growth to roughly 245 million. Lower ranges like 120-125 million trail due to risks of Republican counter-mobilization on issues like immigration and the economy, voter fatigue, or subdued GOP primaries. Upcoming primaries through summer and generic ballot trends could consolidate odds, with sustained opposition energy tipping toward higher figures or base consolidation pulling them down.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$7,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House popular vote at 26.5%, reflecting surges in Democratic primary turnout during March contests in Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—often double recent midterm levels—amid polls showing an enthusiasm gap and souring approval for President Trump's second term. This positions the range above 2022's 108 million total but near 2018's record highs adjusted for voting-eligible population growth to roughly 245 million. Lower ranges like 120-125 million trail due to risks of Republican counter-mobilization on issues like immigration and the economy, voter fatigue, or subdued GOP primaries. Upcoming primaries through summer and generic ballot trends could consolidate odds, with sustained opposition energy tipping toward higher figures or base consolidation pulling them down.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$7,242结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 125-130 million votes in the 2026 midterm House popular vote at 26.5%, reflecting surges in Democratic primary turnout during March contests in Texas, North Carolina, and Illinois—often double recent midterm levels—amid polls showing an enthusiasm gap and souring approval for President Trump's second term. This positions the range above 2022's 108 million total but near 2018's record highs adjusted for voting-eligible population growth to roughly 245 million. Lower ranges like 120-125 million trail due to risks of Republican counter-mobilization on issues like immigration and the economy, voter fatigue, or subdued GOP primaries. Upcoming primaries through summer and generic ballot trends could consolidate odds, with sustained opposition energy tipping toward higher figures or base consolidation pulling them down.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题