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icon for 威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?

威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?

icon for 威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?

威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?

最新
2026-08-30
Polymarket

$2,368 交易量

Polymarket

8月12日

$676 交易量

93%

8月13日

$1,107 交易量

83%

8月15日

$585 交易量

98%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor, prompting immediate focus on concession timing amid the 32-vote difference and potential recount threshold. Hong conceded the following morning, aligning with standard practice in close statewide races where certification and party unity pressures accelerate the process ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Tom Tiffany. The outcome followed Crowley’s late re-entry into the contest and endorsements from party leaders, while other candidates like Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan finished well behind. Trader consensus on concession deadlines reflects historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries, where losers typically acknowledge results within 24–48 hours once projections solidify and legal challenges appear unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
交易量
$2,368
结束日期
2026-08-30
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.David Crowley defeated Francesca Hong by a narrow margin in Wisconsin’s August 11 Democratic primary for governor, prompting immediate focus on concession timing amid the 32-vote difference and potential recount threshold. Hong conceded the following morning, aligning with standard practice in close statewide races where certification and party unity pressures accelerate the process ahead of the November 3 general election against Republican Tom Tiffany. The outcome followed Crowley’s late re-entry into the contest and endorsements from party leaders, while other candidates like Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan finished well behind. Trader consensus on concession deadlines reflects historical patterns in Wisconsin primaries, where losers typically acknowledge results within 24–48 hours once projections solidify and legal challenges appear unlikely.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
交易量
$2,368
结束日期
2026-08-30
市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

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常见问题

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"8月15日",概率为 98%,其次是"8月12日",概率为 93%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 11, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"威斯康星州州长民主党初选的失败者会让步吗?"的当前领先者是"8月15日",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"8月12日",概率为 93%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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