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icon for 佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者
选举·主要

佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者

icon for 佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者
选举·主要

佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者

拜伦·唐纳兹 88%

詹姆斯·费什巴克 9%

杰伊·柯林斯 2.7%

凯西·德桑蒂斯 <1%

Polymarket

$1,527,251 交易量

拜伦·唐纳兹 88%

詹姆斯·费什巴克 9%

杰伊·柯林斯 2.7%

凯西·德桑蒂斯 <1%

Polymarket

$1,527,251 交易量

拜伦·唐纳兹

$116,878 交易量

88%

詹姆斯·费什巴克

$380,417 交易量

9%

杰伊·柯林斯

$710,563 交易量

3%

凯西·德桑蒂斯

$183,496 交易量

<1%

威尔顿·辛普森

$55,804 交易量

<1%

马特·盖茨

$35,742 交易量

<1%

吉米·帕特罗尼斯

$44,351 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by President Trump's early endorsement, record Q1 2026 fundraising of $22 million, and consistent poll leads including 46% in an April Emerson survey, 50% in a Miami Times poll, and a commanding edge per Tarrance Group data through mid-April. Recent attacks from Lt. Gov. Jay Collins (2.6%) on Donalds' congressional votes and stock trades, plus online scrutiny of his past Democratic registration, have failed to dent his position, while James Fishback's (8.5%) campaign faces volunteer scandals. With the August 18 primary approaching, Donalds' transparency initiatives and general election polling strength against Democrats like David Jolly reinforce his frontrunner status amid a fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,527,251
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds dominates trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability in the Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by President Trump's early endorsement, record Q1 2026 fundraising of $22 million, and consistent poll leads including 46% in an April Emerson survey, 50% in a Miami Times poll, and a commanding edge per Tarrance Group data through mid-April. Recent attacks from Lt. Gov. Jay Collins (2.6%) on Donalds' congressional votes and stock trades, plus online scrutiny of his past Democratic registration, have failed to dent his position, while James Fishback's (8.5%) campaign faces volunteer scandals. With the August 18 primary approaching, Donalds' transparency initiatives and general election polling strength against Democrats like David Jolly reinforce his frontrunner status amid a fragmented field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,527,251
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"拜伦·唐纳兹"，概率为 88%，其次是"詹姆斯·费什巴克"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 88¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 88%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Nov 25, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"拜伦·唐纳兹"，概率为 88%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 88%。紧随其后的结果是"詹姆斯·费什巴克"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"佛罗里达州州长共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。