The GA-08 general election on November 3, 2026, features Republican incumbent Austin Scott against Democratic nominee Kelly Esti following uncontested or decisive primaries completed in May. Traders assign a 98.5% implied probability to an outright majority winner because the district's established Republican lean, Scott's prior 68.9% performance, and the absence of third-party or independent candidates make a runoff on December 1 highly unlikely under current conditions. The two-candidate matchup concentrates votes, and historical turnout patterns in this southern Georgia seat reinforce expectations of a decisive first-round result. Late developments such as a significant scandal, national polling swing, or unusually low participation could narrow margins, though structural factors limit realistic paths to under 50% for the leader.