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Elections·Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Elections·Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 53%

Chuck Schumer 32%

Brian Schatz 8%

Tom Cotton 4.7%

Polymarket

$91,083 交易量

John Thune 53%

Chuck Schumer 32%

Brian Schatz 8%

Tom Cotton 4.7%

Polymarket

$91,083 交易量

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$14,358 交易量

53%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$11,961 交易量

32%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,555 交易量

8%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,935 交易量

5%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$23,918 交易量

2%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,103 交易量

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$4,764 交易量

1%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$12,561 交易量

1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$4,795 交易量

<1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,237 交易量

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$3,895 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under John Thune, who was elected leader in late 2024 following the party's gains and has since advanced major legislation including budget reconciliation packages. Trader consensus assigns Thune the highest probability for retaining the post after the 2026 elections, reflecting his incumbency, ties to the White House, and the GOP's structural advantages in defending seats. Chuck Schumer's share as Democratic leader stems from his established position and the possibility Democrats net the four seats needed to flip control. Other listed senators trail due to narrower paths tied to election outcomes, internal caucus dynamics, or lower visibility in leadership discussions. Recent floor activity on appropriations and nominations has reinforced Thune's operational role without altering broader midterm forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$91,083
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold the Senate majority under John Thune, who was elected leader in late 2024 following the party's gains and has since advanced major legislation including budget reconciliation packages. Trader consensus assigns Thune the highest probability for retaining the post after the 2026 elections, reflecting his incumbency, ties to the White House, and the GOP's structural advantages in defending seats. Chuck Schumer's share as Democratic leader stems from his established position and the possibility Democrats net the four seats needed to flip control. Other listed senators trail due to narrower paths tied to election outcomes, internal caucus dynamics, or lower visibility in leadership discussions. Recent floor activity on appropriations and nominations has reinforced Thune's operational role without altering broader midterm forecasts.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
交易量
$91,083
结束日期
2027-01-03
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"John Thune"，概率为 53%，其次是"Chuck Schumer"，概率为 32%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next Senate Majority Leader?"已产生 $91.1K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Senate Majority Leader?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"的当前领先者是"John Thune"，概率为 53%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"Chuck Schumer"，概率为 32%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Senate Majority Leader?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。