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Closest Governor's Race?

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Closest Governor's Race?

俄亥俄州 18.4%

New Hampshire 14.0%

Wisconsin 12.6%

Kansas 12.2%

Polymarket

$11,682 交易量

俄亥俄州 18.4%

New Hampshire 14.0%

Wisconsin 12.6%

Kansas 12.2%

Polymarket

$11,682 交易量

俄亥俄州

$423 交易量

18%

New Hampshire

$272 交易量

9%

Wisconsin

$970 交易量

13%

Kansas

$2,109 交易量

12%

Iowa

$1,480 交易量

12%

Texas

$1,569 交易量

12%

Alaska

$207 交易量

11%

佛罗里达

$224 交易量

9%

Georgia

$297 交易量

10%

Nevada

$2,034 交易量

7%

密歇根州

$329 交易量

5%

Vermont

$176 交易量

4%

Oregon

$319 交易量

3%

Minnesota

$214 交易量

3%

Maine

$355 交易量

3%

科罗拉多州

$243 交易量

2%

New Mexico

$194 交易量

2%

Arizona

$269 交易量

1%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,682
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.

This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,682
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Closest Governor's Race?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 18 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"俄亥俄州",概率为 18%,其次是"Wisconsin",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 18¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 18%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Closest Governor's Race?"已产生 $11.7K 的总交易量(自Jun 29, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Closest Governor's Race?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 18 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Closest Governor's Race?"的当前领先者是"俄亥俄州",概率为 18%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 18%。紧随其后的结果是"Wisconsin",概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Closest Governor's Race?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。