Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俄亥俄州 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
佛罗里达
9%
Georgia
10%
Nevada
7%
密歇根州
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
3%
科罗拉多州
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
俄亥俄州 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
$423 交易量
18%
New Hampshire
$272 交易量
9%
Wisconsin
$970 交易量
13%
Kansas
$2,109 交易量
12%
Iowa
$1,480 交易量
12%
Texas
$1,569 交易量
12%
Alaska
$207 交易量
11%
佛罗里达
$224 交易量
9%
Georgia
$297 交易量
10%
Nevada
$2,034 交易量
7%
密歇根州
$329 交易量
5%
Vermont
$176 交易量
4%
Oregon
$319 交易量
3%
Minnesota
$214 交易量
3%
Maine
$355 交易量
3%
科罗拉多州
$243 交易量
2%
New Mexico
$194 交易量
2%
Arizona
$269 交易量
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$11,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Several 2026 gubernatorial contests in swing and purple states remain tightly matched due to open seats, strong cross-party recruitment, and polling averages showing margins of 4 points or less. Ohio leads trader consensus after recent surveys placed Democratic and Republican nominees within 1-2 points, while Wisconsin, Iowa, and Kansas register as toss-ups or leans following primaries that clarified candidate fields and shifted ratings at outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Florida, Texas, and Georgia factor in amid questions over turnout patterns and economic conditions that could compress or widen final margins. Developments such as upcoming debates, additional polling releases, or shifts in national political sentiment could separate these races before November voting concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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