Ohio leads trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest due to its battleground status, narrow partisan lean, and ongoing primary developments that have produced competitive nominee fields on both sides. Wisconsin follows closely after recent primary results shifted ratings and left an open path for a tight general election matchup. Kansas, Iowa, and Texas draw support from forecasters citing term-limited incumbents, shifting voter blocs, and historical narrow margins that keep these races within reach for either party. With multiple states showing similar structural factors and limited early polling, the field remains dispersed; candidate announcements, full primary resolutions, and national midterm dynamics through fall 2026 could widen gaps or consolidate probabilities around one or two battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于俄亥俄州 18.6%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
19%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
佛罗里达
9%
Georgia
9%
Nevada
7%
密歇根州
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
4%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
科罗拉多州
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
俄亥俄州 18.6%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 交易量
$11,682 交易量
2026-11-03
俄亥俄州
$423 交易量
19%
New Hampshire
$272 交易量
9%
Wisconsin
$970 交易量
13%
Kansas
$2,109 交易量
12%
Iowa
$1,480 交易量
12%
Texas
$1,569 交易量
12%
Alaska
$207 交易量
11%
佛罗里达
$224 交易量
9%
Georgia
$297 交易量
9%
Nevada
$2,034 交易量
7%
密歇根州
$329 交易量
5%
Vermont
$176 交易量
4%
Oregon
$319 交易量
4%
Minnesota
$214 交易量
3%
Maine
$355 交易量
2%
科罗拉多州
$243 交易量
2%
New Mexico
$194 交易量
2%
Arizona
$269 交易量
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio leads trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest due to its battleground status, narrow partisan lean, and ongoing primary developments that have produced competitive nominee fields on both sides. Wisconsin follows closely after recent primary results shifted ratings and left an open path for a tight general election matchup. Kansas, Iowa, and Texas draw support from forecasters citing term-limited incumbents, shifting voter blocs, and historical narrow margins that keep these races within reach for either party. With multiple states showing similar structural factors and limited early polling, the field remains dispersed; candidate announcements, full primary resolutions, and national midterm dynamics through fall 2026 could widen gaps or consolidate probabilities around one or two battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$11,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio leads trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest due to its battleground status, narrow partisan lean, and ongoing primary developments that have produced competitive nominee fields on both sides. Wisconsin follows closely after recent primary results shifted ratings and left an open path for a tight general election matchup. Kansas, Iowa, and Texas draw support from forecasters citing term-limited incumbents, shifting voter blocs, and historical narrow margins that keep these races within reach for either party. With multiple states showing similar structural factors and limited early polling, the field remains dispersed; candidate announcements, full primary resolutions, and national midterm dynamics through fall 2026 could widen gaps or consolidate probabilities around one or two battlegrounds.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,682结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohio leads trader consensus for the closest 2026 gubernatorial contest due to its battleground status, narrow partisan lean, and ongoing primary developments that have produced competitive nominee fields on both sides. Wisconsin follows closely after recent primary results shifted ratings and left an open path for a tight general election matchup. Kansas, Iowa, and Texas draw support from forecasters citing term-limited incumbents, shifting voter blocs, and historical narrow margins that keep these races within reach for either party. With multiple states showing similar structural factors and limited early polling, the field remains dispersed; candidate announcements, full primary resolutions, and national midterm dynamics through fall 2026 could widen gaps or consolidate probabilities around one or two battlegrounds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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