**Trader consensus at 99.3% "No" reflects the absence of any formal charges against Graham Platner in the weeks since sexual assault allegations surfaced in early July 2026.** Platner, the former Democratic Senate nominee in Maine, withdrew from the race after a July 6 Politico report detailed claims by ex-girlfriend Jenny Racicot of non-consensual sex in late 2021; he has repeatedly denied the allegations as false. No law enforcement agency has announced an investigation, arrest, or indictment in the ensuing period, and Platner himself noted in mid-August outreach to supporters that no charges had been filed despite the statute of limitations remaining open. With the resolution deadline now one day away on August 31, 2026, the lack of visible prosecutorial action under standard criminal procedure timelines underpins the near-certain pricing. Realistic scenarios that could still shift the outcome remain narrow but include a sudden filing by Maine authorities based on the existing complaint or newly surfaced evidence not yet public. Late-breaking developments, such as a victim statement prompting expedited review or coordination with federal elements, are theoretically possible yet have shown no signs in reporting or statements through late August. The current pricing captures the wisdom-of-crowds assessment that such developments are improbable before the cutoff.