Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination as a tight contest among figures boasting massive name recognition and broad appeal, with Barack Obama leading narrowly on his residual popularity and donor network, trailed by actor George Clooney, former Obama chief of staff Rahm Emanuel—buoyed by his recent shadow primary moves and comments emphasizing ideas over identity—and Beto O'Rourke. With over two years until the Democratic National Convention and no primaries underway, low-volume trading amplifies speculation on celebrities like Oprah Winfrey and Kim Kardashian alongside political scions such as Chelsea Clinton. Dynamics stay compressed absent catalysts; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer, alliances with presidential frontrunners including Kamala Harris, and fundraising disclosures could widen gaps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Barack Obama 20.9%
George Clooney 16.7%
Beto O’Rourke 15.3%
Chelsea Clinton 15.1%
$13,665 交易量
$13,665 交易量
Gavin Newsom
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
6%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
15%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
14%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
21%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
17%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
3%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
15%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
6%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
Barack Obama 20.9%
George Clooney 16.7%
Beto O’Rourke 15.3%
Chelsea Clinton 15.1%
$13,665 交易量
$13,665 交易量
Gavin Newsom
6%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
8%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Wes Moore
6%
Stephen A. Smith
4%
Kamala Harris
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
2%
J.B. Pritzker
5%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
2%
Rahm Emanuel
15%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
14%
Roy Cooper
1%
John Fetterman
1%
Jared Polis
5%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Barack Obama
21%
Hillary Clinton
5%
Liz Cheney
4%
Bernie Sanders
15%
Phil Murphy
6%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
17%
Chelsea Clinton
15%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
3%
Oprah Winfrey
14%
Andrew Yang
4%
Beto O’Rourke
15%
Kim Kardashian
15%
Chris Murphy
<1%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
11%
James Talarico
6%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices the 2028 Democratic vice presidential nomination as a tight contest among figures boasting massive name recognition and broad appeal, with Barack Obama leading narrowly on his residual popularity and donor network, trailed by actor George Clooney, former Obama chief of staff Rahm Emanuel—buoyed by his recent shadow primary moves and comments emphasizing ideas over identity—and Beto O'Rourke. With over two years until the Democratic National Convention and no primaries underway, low-volume trading amplifies speculation on celebrities like Oprah Winfrey and Kim Kardashian alongside political scions such as Chelsea Clinton. Dynamics stay compressed absent catalysts; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer, alliances with presidential frontrunners including Kamala Harris, and fundraising disclosures could widen gaps.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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