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icon for 谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?

谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?

icon for 谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?

谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?

汤姆·贝吉奇 37%

Destry J. Payne Sr. 37%

Treg Taylor 37%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 37%

Polymarket
最新

汤姆·贝吉奇 37%

Destry J. Payne Sr. 37%

Treg Taylor 37%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊 37%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 汤姆·贝吉奇

汤姆·贝吉奇

$148 交易量

37%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$20 交易量

37%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$20 交易量

37%

icon for 伯纳黛特·威尔逊

伯纳黛特·威尔逊

$20 交易量

37%

icon for 詹姆斯·帕金

詹姆斯·帕金

$25 交易量

36%

icon for 马特·克拉曼

马特·克拉曼

$25 交易量

36%

icon for 戴夫·布朗森

戴夫·布朗森

$20 交易量

36%

icon for 埃德娜·德弗里斯

埃德娜·德弗里斯

$20 交易量

36%

icon for 谢莉·休斯

谢莉·休斯

$54 交易量

36%

icon for 汉克·克罗尔

汉克·克罗尔

$51 交易量

36%

icon for 比尔·沃克

比尔·沃克

$20 交易量

36%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$20 交易量

35%

icon for 亚当·克鲁姆

亚当·克鲁姆

$20 交易量

35%

icon for 马特·海拉拉

马特·海拉拉

$51 交易量

34%

icon for 布鲁斯·瓦尔登

布鲁斯·瓦尔登

$50 交易量

34%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$53 交易量

34%

icon for 杰西卡·费尔克劳斯

杰西卡·费尔克劳斯

$20 交易量

33%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$80 交易量

25%

icon for 乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯

$40 交易量

25%

icon for 南希·达尔斯特罗姆

南希·达尔斯特罗姆

$80 交易量

20%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska’s open nonpartisan top-four primary, set for August 18, has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh fragmented support among Republicans such as Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. Recent July candidate forums and a late-July Anchorage meet-and-greet highlighted accessibility efforts without producing clear separation, while polling averages show Begich ahead but with several others within striking distance under ranked-choice dynamics. The four-advancement rule and absence of a dominant incumbent successor amplify uncertainty, with late shifts in turnout or endorsements among key voting blocs the main factors that could reorder the finish.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
交易量
$837
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska’s open nonpartisan top-four primary, set for August 18, has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh fragmented support among Republicans such as Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. Recent July candidate forums and a late-July Anchorage meet-and-greet highlighted accessibility efforts without producing clear separation, while polling averages show Begich ahead but with several others within striking distance under ranked-choice dynamics. The four-advancement rule and absence of a dominant incumbent successor amplify uncertainty, with late shifts in turnout or endorsements among key voting blocs the main factors that could reorder the finish.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
交易量
$837
结束日期
2026-08-18
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 20 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"汤姆·贝吉奇",概率为 37%,其次是"Destry J. Payne Sr.",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 37¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 37%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 20 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?"的当前领先者是"汤姆·贝吉奇",概率为 37%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 37%。紧随其后的结果是"Destry J. Payne Sr.",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"谁将在阿拉斯加州州长初选中排名第一?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。