The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska’s open nonpartisan top-four primary, set for August 18, has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh fragmented support among Republicans such as Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. Recent July candidate forums and a late-July Anchorage meet-and-greet highlighted accessibility efforts without producing clear separation, while polling averages show Begich ahead but with several others within striking distance under ranked-choice dynamics. The four-advancement rule and absence of a dominant incumbent successor amplify uncertainty, with late shifts in turnout or endorsements among key voting blocs the main factors that could reorder the finish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于汤姆·贝吉奇 37%
Destry J. Payne Sr. 37%
Treg Taylor 37%
伯纳黛特·威尔逊 37%

汤姆·贝吉奇
37%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
37%

Treg Taylor
37%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
37%

詹姆斯·帕金
36%

马特·克拉曼
36%

戴夫·布朗森
36%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
36%

谢莉·休斯
36%

汉克·克罗尔
36%

比尔·沃克
36%

Click Bishop
35%

亚当·克鲁姆
35%

马特·海拉拉
34%

布鲁斯·瓦尔登
34%

Lesil McGuire
34%

杰西卡·费尔克劳斯
33%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
25%

南希·达尔斯特罗姆
20%
汤姆·贝吉奇 37%
Destry J. Payne Sr. 37%
Treg Taylor 37%
伯纳黛特·威尔逊 37%

汤姆·贝吉奇
37%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
37%

Treg Taylor
37%

伯纳黛特·威尔逊
37%

詹姆斯·帕金
36%

马特·克拉曼
36%

戴夫·布朗森
36%

埃德娜·德弗里斯
36%

谢莉·休斯
36%

汉克·克罗尔
36%

比尔·沃克
36%

Click Bishop
35%

亚当·克鲁姆
35%

马特·海拉拉
34%

布鲁斯·瓦尔登
34%

Lesil McGuire
34%

杰西卡·费尔克劳斯
33%

Gregg Brelsford
25%

乔纳森·克赖斯-汤金斯
25%

南希·达尔斯特罗姆
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of 17 candidates in Alaska’s open nonpartisan top-four primary, set for August 18, has kept first-place probabilities tightly clustered as traders weigh fragmented support among Republicans such as Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, and Treg Taylor alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. Recent July candidate forums and a late-July Anchorage meet-and-greet highlighted accessibility efforts without producing clear separation, while polling averages show Begich ahead but with several others within striking distance under ranked-choice dynamics. The four-advancement rule and absence of a dominant incumbent successor amplify uncertainty, with late shifts in turnout or endorsements among key voting blocs the main factors that could reorder the finish.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题