Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, with recent surveys showing him at 46-47 percent against a fragmented field. The primary advances the top four finishers to a November ranked-choice general election regardless of party. Democratic pastor Matt Schultz, previously the most visible challenger, suspended his campaign in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, who has drawn union backing and outside support as an anti-incumbent alternative. Other candidates include additional independents and Republicans, but none have closed the gap in available polling. The race remains a test of Begich’s consolidation of Republican support ahead of the final six days of campaigning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,914 交易量
Nick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
98%
John Williams
67%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
31%
Gavin Solomon
4%
Matt Schultz
44%
$20,914 交易量
Nick Begich III
99%
Bill Hill
98%
John Williams
67%
马修“野马”威廉姆斯
31%
Gavin Solomon
4%
Matt Schultz
44%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市场开放时间: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich holds a commanding lead in Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat, with recent surveys showing him at 46-47 percent against a fragmented field. The primary advances the top four finishers to a November ranked-choice general election regardless of party. Democratic pastor Matt Schultz, previously the most visible challenger, suspended his campaign in July and endorsed independent Bill Hill, who has drawn union backing and outside support as an anti-incumbent alternative. Other candidates include additional independents and Republicans, but none have closed the gap in available polling. The race remains a test of Begich’s consolidation of Republican support ahead of the final six days of campaigning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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