Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, aligning with trader consensus near 50-50. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $68 million compared to Paxton's roughly $9 million as of mid-August 2026, has supported stronger outreach, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support. Demographic splits by age and education, along with voter priorities on the economy and immigration, sustain the balance. Potential separators include upcoming debates, late-cycle advertising surges, turnout among younger and independent voters, or shifts in national political conditions before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$780,778 交易量
$780,778 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
50%
$780,778 交易量
$780,778 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$370,301 交易量
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$410,477 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, aligning with trader consensus near 50-50. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $68 million compared to Paxton's roughly $9 million as of mid-August 2026, has supported stronger outreach, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support. Demographic splits by age and education, along with voter priorities on the economy and immigration, sustain the balance. Potential separators include upcoming debates, late-cycle advertising surges, turnout among younger and independent voters, or shifts in national political conditions before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$780,778结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, aligning with trader consensus near 50-50. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $68 million compared to Paxton's roughly $9 million as of mid-August 2026, has supported stronger outreach, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support. Demographic splits by age and education, along with voter priorities on the economy and immigration, sustain the balance. Potential separators include upcoming debates, late-cycle advertising surges, turnout among younger and independent voters, or shifts in national political conditions before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$780,778结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democratic state Representative James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton locked in a near dead heat, aligning with trader consensus near 50-50. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $68 million compared to Paxton's roughly $9 million as of mid-August 2026, has supported stronger outreach, while Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn consolidated Republican support. Demographic splits by age and education, along with voter priorities on the economy and immigration, sustain the balance. Potential separators include upcoming debates, late-cycle advertising surges, turnout among younger and independent voters, or shifts in national political conditions before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题