Republican trader consensus slightly favors the GOP at 54.5% implied probability over Democrat James Talarico at 46% in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's enduring Republican lean despite recent polls showing tight matchups. Talarico, who won a competitive Democratic primary in March, leads incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 1 point in RealClearPolling averages and edged both Cornyn and AG Ken Paxton in April surveys from TPOR and UT/Texas Politics Project. GOP nominee uncertainty persists ahead of the May 26 primary runoff—polls like UH Hobby's May 5 survey show Paxton up 48-45—dividing the base after a bruising first round. Early voting starts May 18; a Paxton win could energize conservatives on border security but risk moderate turnout, while Cornyn's establishment support might broaden appeal. National midterm dynamics and economic trends could tip the balance by November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$202,549 交易量
$202,549 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
55%
民主党
47%
$202,549 交易量
$202,549 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$111,366 交易量
55%
民主党
$91,183 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican trader consensus slightly favors the GOP at 54.5% implied probability over Democrat James Talarico at 46% in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's enduring Republican lean despite recent polls showing tight matchups. Talarico, who won a competitive Democratic primary in March, leads incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 1 point in RealClearPolling averages and edged both Cornyn and AG Ken Paxton in April surveys from TPOR and UT/Texas Politics Project. GOP nominee uncertainty persists ahead of the May 26 primary runoff—polls like UH Hobby's May 5 survey show Paxton up 48-45—dividing the base after a bruising first round. Early voting starts May 18; a Paxton win could energize conservatives on border security but risk moderate turnout, while Cornyn's establishment support might broaden appeal. National midterm dynamics and economic trends could tip the balance by November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$202,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican trader consensus slightly favors the GOP at 54.5% implied probability over Democrat James Talarico at 46% in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's enduring Republican lean despite recent polls showing tight matchups. Talarico, who won a competitive Democratic primary in March, leads incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 1 point in RealClearPolling averages and edged both Cornyn and AG Ken Paxton in April surveys from TPOR and UT/Texas Politics Project. GOP nominee uncertainty persists ahead of the May 26 primary runoff—polls like UH Hobby's May 5 survey show Paxton up 48-45—dividing the base after a bruising first round. Early voting starts May 18; a Paxton win could energize conservatives on border security but risk moderate turnout, while Cornyn's establishment support might broaden appeal. National midterm dynamics and economic trends could tip the balance by November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$202,549结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican trader consensus slightly favors the GOP at 54.5% implied probability over Democrat James Talarico at 46% in the Texas U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's enduring Republican lean despite recent polls showing tight matchups. Talarico, who won a competitive Democratic primary in March, leads incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 1 point in RealClearPolling averages and edged both Cornyn and AG Ken Paxton in April surveys from TPOR and UT/Texas Politics Project. GOP nominee uncertainty persists ahead of the May 26 primary runoff—polls like UH Hobby's May 5 survey show Paxton up 48-45—dividing the base after a bruising first round. Early voting starts May 18; a Paxton win could energize conservatives on border security but risk moderate turnout, while Cornyn's establishment support might broaden appeal. National midterm dynamics and economic trends could tip the balance by November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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