Recent polling from Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others shows the Texas U.S. Senate race in a statistical tie, with James Talarico and Ken Paxton separated by 1-2 points among likely voters, mirroring the narrow trader consensus. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in the primary, while Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican runoff following a Trump endorsement. Talarico holds a substantial fundraising edge that has supported broader outreach, particularly among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, whereas Paxton maintains core Republican support but shows softer consolidation in surveys. Economy and immigration rank as leading voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contest, with any shifts in turnout, a scheduled debate, or late developments on those issues likely to determine separation in this closely matched contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$781,154 交易量
$781,154 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
50%
$781,154 交易量
$781,154 交易量
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$370,676 交易量
52%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$410,477 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others shows the Texas U.S. Senate race in a statistical tie, with James Talarico and Ken Paxton separated by 1-2 points among likely voters, mirroring the narrow trader consensus. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in the primary, while Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican runoff following a Trump endorsement. Talarico holds a substantial fundraising edge that has supported broader outreach, particularly among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, whereas Paxton maintains core Republican support but shows softer consolidation in surveys. Economy and immigration rank as leading voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contest, with any shifts in turnout, a scheduled debate, or late developments on those issues likely to determine separation in this closely matched contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$781,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others shows the Texas U.S. Senate race in a statistical tie, with James Talarico and Ken Paxton separated by 1-2 points among likely voters, mirroring the narrow trader consensus. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in the primary, while Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican runoff following a Trump endorsement. Talarico holds a substantial fundraising edge that has supported broader outreach, particularly among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, whereas Paxton maintains core Republican support but shows softer consolidation in surveys. Economy and immigration rank as leading voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contest, with any shifts in turnout, a scheduled debate, or late developments on those issues likely to determine separation in this closely matched contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$781,154结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Emerson College, Texas Southern University, and others shows the Texas U.S. Senate race in a statistical tie, with James Talarico and Ken Paxton separated by 1-2 points among likely voters, mirroring the narrow trader consensus. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in the primary, while Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn in the Republican runoff following a Trump endorsement. Talarico holds a substantial fundraising edge that has supported broader outreach, particularly among younger voters, independents, and some non-college-educated groups, whereas Paxton maintains core Republican support but shows softer consolidation in surveys. Economy and immigration rank as leading voter priorities ahead of the November 3 contest, with any shifts in turnout, a scheduled debate, or late developments on those issues likely to determine separation in this closely matched contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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