KPRF holds overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election because its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent performance in state-aligned polls position it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Recent WCIOM and FOM surveys show United Russia leading with 34-52 percent while KPRF, LDPR, and New People cluster between 9-15 percent, with order varying by pollster; New People has shown occasional strength on economic messaging but trails KPRF in most aggregates for the silver position. Campaigning began August 22 ahead of the three-day vote starting September 18, with Yabloko removed from the federal list and no major late shifts reported among registered parties that would alter the expected hierarchy. LDPR and New People retain smaller implied probabilities tied to nationalist or reformist appeals, while United Russia remains priced near zero for anything other than first.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 85%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 9.2%
New People (NL) 7.4%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$354,002 交易量
$354,002 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
85%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
9%
New People (NL)
7%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
雅布洛科
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 85%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 9.2%
New People (NL) 7.4%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$354,002 交易量
$354,002 交易量
2026-09-19
United Russia (ER)
$40,861 交易量
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$95,537 交易量
85%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$12,687 交易量
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$76,414 交易量
9%
New People (NL)
$47,018 交易量
7%
Rodina
$19,680 交易量
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$11,575 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$50,230 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF holds overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election because its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent performance in state-aligned polls position it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Recent WCIOM and FOM surveys show United Russia leading with 34-52 percent while KPRF, LDPR, and New People cluster between 9-15 percent, with order varying by pollster; New People has shown occasional strength on economic messaging but trails KPRF in most aggregates for the silver position. Campaigning began August 22 ahead of the three-day vote starting September 18, with Yabloko removed from the federal list and no major late shifts reported among registered parties that would alter the expected hierarchy. LDPR and New People retain smaller implied probabilities tied to nationalist or reformist appeals, while United Russia remains priced near zero for anything other than first.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
交易量
$354,002结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.KPRF holds overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election because its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent performance in state-aligned polls position it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Recent WCIOM and FOM surveys show United Russia leading with 34-52 percent while KPRF, LDPR, and New People cluster between 9-15 percent, with order varying by pollster; New People has shown occasional strength on economic messaging but trails KPRF in most aggregates for the silver position. Campaigning began August 22 ahead of the three-day vote starting September 18, with Yabloko removed from the federal list and no major late shifts reported among registered parties that would alter the expected hierarchy. LDPR and New People retain smaller implied probabilities tied to nationalist or reformist appeals, while United Russia remains priced near zero for anything other than first.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$354,002结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...KPRF holds overwhelming trader consensus for second place behind United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma election because its established regional structures, historical voter base among older and rural constituencies, and consistent performance in state-aligned polls position it ahead of other systemic opposition parties. Recent WCIOM and FOM surveys show United Russia leading with 34-52 percent while KPRF, LDPR, and New People cluster between 9-15 percent, with order varying by pollster; New People has shown occasional strength on economic messaging but trails KPRF in most aggregates for the silver position. Campaigning began August 22 ahead of the three-day vote starting September 18, with Yabloko removed from the federal list and no major late shifts reported among registered parties that would alter the expected hierarchy. LDPR and New People retain smaller implied probabilities tied to nationalist or reformist appeals, while United Russia remains priced near zero for anything other than first.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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