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icon for 阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家

阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家

icon for 阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家

阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家

民族解放阵线(FLN) 87%

和平社会运动(MSP) 6%

民主民族联盟(RND) 4.5%

未来阵线(FM) 4%

Polymarket
最新

民族解放阵线(FLN) 87%

和平社会运动(MSP) 6%

民主民族联盟(RND) 4.5%

未来阵线(FM) 4%

Polymarket
最新

民族解放阵线(FLN)

$6,594 交易量

87%

和平社会运动(MSP)

$229 交易量

6%

民主民族联盟(RND)

$172 交易量

5%

未来阵线(FM)

$217 交易量

4%

国家建设运动(BINAA)

$174 交易量

2%

人民之声党(PVP)

$232 交易量

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Algeria's July 2, 2026, parliamentary election for the 407-seat National People's Assembly features a fragmented field under proportional representation, with established parties such as the FLN, MSP, RND, Future Front, El Binaa, and PVP holding roughly comparable positions in trader assessments. Persistent low turnout expectations, rooted in the 2021 precedent of widespread abstention and limited opposition participation, continue to constrain any single party's momentum. The system's emphasis on closed lists across multi-member districts, combined with substantial independent candidacies, dilutes bloc consolidation. Recent preparations—including diaspora voting windows and routine campaign activity—have produced no decisive shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders would likely require clearer signals on turnout differentials or late alliances that alter seat allocation thresholds in the final days.

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$7,619
结束日期
2026-07-02
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Algeria's July 2, 2026, parliamentary election for the 407-seat National People's Assembly features a fragmented field under proportional representation, with established parties such as the FLN, MSP, RND, Future Front, El Binaa, and PVP holding roughly comparable positions in trader assessments. Persistent low turnout expectations, rooted in the 2021 precedent of widespread abstention and limited opposition participation, continue to constrain any single party's momentum. The system's emphasis on closed lists across multi-member districts, combined with substantial independent candidacies, dilutes bloc consolidation. Recent preparations—including diaspora voting windows and routine campaign activity—have produced no decisive shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders would likely require clearer signals on turnout differentials or late alliances that alter seat allocation thresholds in the final days.

Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$7,619
结束日期
2026-07-02
市场开放时间
Jun 25, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's National Assembly of Algeria are scheduled to take place on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's National Assembly of Algeria as a result of this election. If voting in the specified election does not occur or there continues to be ambiguity in the results as reported by the Algerian government by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independent candidates and the formation of parliamentary groups will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Algerian government. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"民族解放阵线(FLN)",概率为 87%,其次是"和平社会运动(MSP)",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 87¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 25, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家"的当前领先者是"民族解放阵线(FLN)",概率为 87%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 87%。紧随其后的结果是"和平社会运动(MSP)",概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿尔及利亚议会选举:党内赢家"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。