Recent polls for Israel's 2026 Knesset election place Likud between 25 and 28 seats, reflecting the competitive pressure from the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance that has consolidated center-right opposition support. Proportional representation with a 3.25 percent threshold and a fragmented electorate keep outcomes sensitive to small shifts in right-wing and religious voter preferences, while coalition strains over the budget and judicial issues limit Likud's room to expand. Trader sentiment on the 20-29 seat ranges stays closely balanced because no recent catalyst—such as an early-election bill or further polling movement—has produced decisive separation, though developments in security policy or alliance stability within the next few months could clarify bloc strengths ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25-29 55%
30-34 32%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
<20
12%
20-24
38%
25-29
41%
30-34
32%
35+
16%
25-29 55%
30-34 32%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
最新
最新
2026-10-27
<20
$1,785 交易量
12%
20-24
$80 交易量
38%
25-29
$179 交易量
41%
30-34
$132 交易量
32%
35+
$229 交易量
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's 2026 Knesset election place Likud between 25 and 28 seats, reflecting the competitive pressure from the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance that has consolidated center-right opposition support. Proportional representation with a 3.25 percent threshold and a fragmented electorate keep outcomes sensitive to small shifts in right-wing and religious voter preferences, while coalition strains over the budget and judicial issues limit Likud's room to expand. Trader sentiment on the 20-29 seat ranges stays closely balanced because no recent catalyst—such as an early-election bill or further polling movement—has produced decisive separation, though developments in security policy or alliance stability within the next few months could clarify bloc strengths ahead of the October vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$2,405结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls for Israel's 2026 Knesset election place Likud between 25 and 28 seats, reflecting the competitive pressure from the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance that has consolidated center-right opposition support. Proportional representation with a 3.25 percent threshold and a fragmented electorate keep outcomes sensitive to small shifts in right-wing and religious voter preferences, while coalition strains over the budget and judicial issues limit Likud's room to expand. Trader sentiment on the 20-29 seat ranges stays closely balanced because no recent catalyst—such as an early-election bill or further polling movement—has produced decisive separation, though developments in security policy or alliance stability within the next few months could clarify bloc strengths ahead of the October vote.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
交易量
$2,405结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Israel's 2026 Knesset election place Likud between 25 and 28 seats, reflecting the competitive pressure from the Bennett-Lapid "Together" alliance that has consolidated center-right opposition support. Proportional representation with a 3.25 percent threshold and a fragmented electorate keep outcomes sensitive to small shifts in right-wing and religious voter preferences, while coalition strains over the budget and judicial issues limit Likud's room to expand. Trader sentiment on the 20-29 seat ranges stays closely balanced because no recent catalyst—such as an early-election bill or further polling movement—has produced decisive separation, though developments in security policy or alliance stability within the next few months could clarify bloc strengths ahead of the October vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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