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icon for 台北市长选举获胜者

台北市长选举获胜者

icon for 台北市长选举获胜者

台北市长选举获胜者

蒋万安 91%

郭锡 2.0%

沈伯洋 <1%

Polymarket
最新

蒋万安 91%

郭锡 2.0%

沈伯洋 <1%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 蒋万安

蒋万安

$2,035 交易量

91%

icon for 郭锡

郭锡

$117 交易量

2%

icon for 沈伯洋

沈伯洋

$871 交易量

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a dominant position in the 2026 mayoral race, with market prices reflecting his consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against the Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen. Taipei's traditional alignment with the KMT, combined with Chiang's high visibility through party rallies and legislative initiatives, has reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects ahead of the late-November vote. Minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi register negligible support. While his frontrunner status appears secure based on current polling trends and incumbency advantages, late developments including shifts in turnout among key districts, major scandals, or unexpected coalition moves could still narrow the gap before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,023
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an, the incumbent Kuomintang mayor of Taipei, holds a dominant position in the 2026 mayoral race, with market prices reflecting his consistent double-digit leads in recent polls against the Democratic Progressive Party nominee Puma Shen. Taipei's traditional alignment with the KMT, combined with Chiang's high visibility through party rallies and legislative initiatives, has reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects ahead of the late-November vote. Minor candidates such as Kuo Hsi register negligible support. While his frontrunner status appears secure based on current polling trends and incumbency advantages, late developments including shifts in turnout among key districts, major scandals, or unexpected coalition moves could still narrow the gap before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$3,023
结束日期
2026-11-28
市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"台北市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"蒋万安",概率为 91%,其次是"郭锡",概率为 2%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"台北市长选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"台北市长选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"台北市长选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"蒋万安",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。紧随其后的结果是"郭锡",概率为 2%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"台北市长选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。