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选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

icon for 下届法国总统选举
选举·全球选举

下届法国总统选举

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 24%

爱德华·菲利普 20%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 11%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 6%

Polymarket

$71,569,701 交易量

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉 24%

爱德华·菲利普 20%

让-吕克·梅朗雄 11%

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞 6%

Polymarket

$71,569,701 交易量

icon for 分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉

$894,065 交易量

24%

icon for 爱德华·菲利普

爱德华·菲利普

$703,056 交易量

20%

icon for 让-吕克·梅朗雄

让-吕克·梅朗雄

$556,088 交易量

11%

icon for 分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

$519,094 交易量

6%

icon for 大卫·利斯纳德

大卫·利斯纳德

$1,153,882 交易量

5%

icon for 多米尼克·德维尔潘

多米尼克·德维尔潘

$1,201,837 交易量

5%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

弗朗索瓦·奥朗德

$1,016,521 交易量

5%

icon for 加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔

$1,236,551 交易量

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,365,223 交易量

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$835,303 交易量

2%

icon for 莎拉·克纳福

莎拉·克纳福

$1,300,762 交易量

2%

icon for 埃里克·泽穆尔

埃里克·泽穆尔

$1,478,151 交易量

1%

icon for 塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努

$889,388 交易量

1%

icon for 分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

分组条目标题：让-卡斯泰

$739,821 交易量

1%

icon for 胡安·布兰科

胡安·布兰科

$1,362,228 交易量

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,266,106 交易量

1%

icon for 洛朗·沃奎耶

洛朗·沃奎耶

$2,034,876 交易量

1%

icon for 瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

瓦莱丽·佩雷斯

$2,579,297 交易量

1%

icon for 热拉尔·达马南

热拉尔·达马南

$731,473 交易量

1%

icon for 克莱芒斯·盖特

克莱芒斯·盖特

$2,685,950 交易量

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,169,389 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·阿塞勒诺

$3,521,899 交易量

1%

icon for 尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

尼古拉斯·杜邦-奈昂

$2,787,549 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

分组项标题：弗朗索瓦·鲁芬

$1,495,502 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

分组项标题：Marine Tondelier

$2,048,747 交易量

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,113,721 交易量

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,026,761 交易量

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,751,829 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

分组项标题：马蒂尔德·帕诺特

$3,553,809 交易量

1%

icon for 伊丽莎白·博恩

伊丽莎白·博恩

$3,285,867 交易量

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,606,714 交易量

1%

icon for 分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

分组项标题：曼努埃尔·邦巴尔

$2,888,687 交易量

1%

icon for 泽维尔·贝特朗

泽维尔·贝特朗

$3,214,704 交易量

1%

icon for 奥利维耶·福尔

奥利维耶·福尔

$2,473,220 交易量

1%

icon for 米歇尔·巴尼耶

米歇尔·巴尼耶

$3,337,704 交易量

1%

icon for 弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

弗朗索瓦·贝鲁

$3,744,180 交易量

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the 2027 French presidential election amid persistent polling advantages in the first round for the National Rally candidate, though Édouard Philippe remains close behind as the strongest center-right alternative. Recent developments include Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 announcement of another run, which highlights ongoing fragmentation on the left and could limit consolidation against the far right. Marine Le Pen’s lower standing reflects ongoing legal uncertainties around her eligibility, while the broad field of more than thirty contenders risks splitting moderate and centrist votes in a runoff scenario. Upcoming municipal results and coalition-building efforts through 2026 could further shift positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$71,569,701
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the 2027 French presidential election amid persistent polling advantages in the first round for the National Rally candidate, though Édouard Philippe remains close behind as the strongest center-right alternative. Recent developments include Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 announcement of another run, which highlights ongoing fragmentation on the left and could limit consolidation against the far right. Marine Le Pen’s lower standing reflects ongoing legal uncertainties around her eligibility, while the broad field of more than thirty contenders risks splitting moderate and centrist votes in a runoff scenario. Upcoming municipal results and coalition-building efforts through 2026 could further shift positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$71,569,701
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下届法国总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 24%，其次是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"下届法国总统选举"已产生 $71.6 million 的总交易量（自Nov 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下届法国总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下届法国总统选举"的当前领先者是"分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉"，概率为 24%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。紧随其后的结果是"爱德华·菲利普"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下届法国总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。