Incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans where he secured 60.3% in 2024. Qualifying for the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary closed in early August with a limited field that includes Democratic challengers Renada Collins and independents or minor-party candidates such as Lisa Ballay, Peter Williams, and Walter Beach. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base make it unlikely that opposition will split the vote enough to force a December 12 runoff under Louisiana's majority-vote system. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 94.5% because historical patterns in similar safe seats show incumbents routinely clearing 50% when facing low-profile or divided challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.Incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans where he secured 60.3% in 2024. Qualifying for the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary closed in early August with a limited field that includes Democratic challengers Renada Collins and independents or minor-party candidates such as Lisa Ballay, Peter Williams, and Walter Beach. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base make it unlikely that opposition will split the vote enough to force a December 12 runoff under Louisiana's majority-vote system. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 94.5% because historical patterns in similar safe seats show incumbents routinely clearing 50% when facing low-profile or divided challengers.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
交易量
$348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.Incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans where he secured 60.3% in 2024. Qualifying for the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary closed in early August with a limited field that includes Democratic challengers Renada Collins and independents or minor-party candidates such as Lisa Ballay, Peter Williams, and Walter Beach. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base make it unlikely that opposition will split the vote enough to force a December 12 runoff under Louisiana's majority-vote system. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 94.5% because historical patterns in similar safe seats show incumbents routinely clearing 50% when facing low-profile or divided challengers.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-02 House election.
交易量
$348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Troy Carter holds a strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, a reliably Democratic seat centered on New Orleans where he secured 60.3% in 2024. Qualifying for the November 3, 2026, nonpartisan primary closed in early August with a limited field that includes Democratic challengers Renada Collins and independents or minor-party candidates such as Lisa Ballay, Peter Williams, and Walter Beach. The district's partisan composition and Carter's established support base make it unlikely that opposition will split the vote enough to force a December 12 runoff under Louisiana's majority-vote system. Traders price the outright-winner outcome at 94.5% because historical patterns in similar safe seats show incumbents routinely clearing 50% when facing low-profile or divided challengers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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